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National Weather Service Forecast for Lawrenceville and Gwinnett County

Georgia Drought Monitor

The Georgia Drought monitor is a subset of the United States Monitor, issued every Thursday morning, based on drought conditions the previous Tuesday. The map below shows the current drought level around the state, and the percent of Georgia land area in each drought level compared to the previous week.

Read an explanation of the drought intensities and what they mean.

Georgia Drought Monitor

Georgia Hydrologic Information Statement

The Georgia Hydrologic Information statement is issued periodically by the Weather Service office in Peachtree City. It provides information on drought and potential flooding or excessive rain events.

758 
FGUS72 KFFC 061427
ESFFFC
GAC009-011-013-015-021-023-035-045-047-053-055-057-059-063-067-
077-079-081-083-085-089-091-093-097-107-111-113-115-117-121-123-
125-129-133-135-139-141-143-145-149-151-153-157-159-163-167-169-
171-175-187-193-195-197-199-207-209-211-213-215-217-219-221-223-
225-227-231-233-235-237-247-249-255-259-261-263-265-269-271-279-
281-283-285-289-291-293-295-297-301-303-307-309-311-313-315-317-
319-072300-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
927 AM EST THU MAR 6 2014

...SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...

FOR THE SPRING OF 2014...THE SOUTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER IS 
CALLING FOR A NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL RIVER FLOOD POTENTIAL 
FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. GIVEN THAT SPRING IS A 
CHARACTERISTICALLY ACTIVE PERIOD FOR RIVER FLOODING...THIS OUTLOOK 
INDICATES THAT NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA CAN EXPECT TO SEE A 
NEARLY-TYPICAL NUMBER OF RIVER FLOODS WITH A SIMILAR FLOOD 
MAGNITUDE. 

...EXISTING CONDITIONS...

SOIL MOISTURE...UPPER AND LOWER SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS HAVE  
BECOME WET IN NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO RECENT WEATHER 
SYSTEMS PRODUCING ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL DURING THE WINTER SEASON. 
AVERAGE DAILY STREAM FLOWS FOR THE PAST 30 DAYS HAVE BEEN RUNNING 
NEAR NORMAL ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...WITH A FEW LOCATIONS 
IN THE COOSA-TALLAPOOSA RIVER BASIN AVERAGING SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL 
STREAMFLOW. 

CLIMATE REGIME...A NEAR NORMAL WEATHER PATTERN HAS PERSISTED THROUGH 
THE WINTER MONTHS AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE SPRING. THIS 
PATTERN HAS CONTRIBUTED TO STORM TRACKS THAT HAVE BROUGHT 
SUBSTANTIAL PRECIPITATION TO NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA ABOUT EVERY 3 
TO 5 DAYS. THE MORE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN ABOUT 
EVERY TWO WEEKS. 

RAINFALL...DURING THE PAST 90 DAYS...ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION HAS 
PREVAILED OVER NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. THIS AREA WAS GENERALLY 
110 TO 150 PERCENT OF NORMAL WITH RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 25 
INCHES. AS A RESULT...WIDESPREAD MINOR FLOODING OCCURRED A FEW TIMES 
ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA IN JANUARY...AND ISOLATED MINOR 
FLOODING OCCURRED OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST GEORGIA IN FEBRUARY. 

RESERVOIR CONSIDERATIONS...OVERALL POOL LEVELS OF THE MAJOR 
RESERVOIRS IN NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA ARE NEAR OR ABOVE TARGET 
LEVELS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...WITH A FEW ALREADY APPROACHING SUMMER 
POOL LEVELS. NORMAL RAINFALL SHOULD ALLOW RESERVOIRS TO BE FILLED TO 
SUMMER POOL CRITERIA. 

METEOROLOGICAL OUTLOOK...THE SOUTHEAST U.S. MOVES INTO A MORE 
TRANSITIONAL ENVIRONMENT IN THE SPRING WITH INCREASING CHANCES OF 
HEAVY RAIN. THE CURRENT FORECAST FOR MARCH THROUGH MAY IS FOR EQUAL 
CHANCES OF ABOVE OR BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL OVER NORTH AND CENTRAL 
GEORGIA. A NEUTRAL ENSO PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE 
SPRING...DEVELOPING INTO EL NINO THIS SUMMER.

...SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK...
CONSIDERING THE RAINFALL EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 90 DAYS AND THE 
PRE-EXISTING ABOVE NORMAL SOIL CONDITIONS...THE OUTLOOK IS FOR A 
NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL CHANCE OF FLOODING THIS SPRING IN 
NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

&&

FOR DETAILED WEB INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS
FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...GO TO:

         WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA

AND UNDER CURRENT WEATHER...CLICK ON "RIVERS/LAKES".

FOR PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS...GO TO:

         HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP

FOR FORECAST PRECIPITATION...GO TO:

         WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SERFC/?N=QPFPAGEHPC24

$$

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