000
FXUS62 KFFC 230943
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
540 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2008
.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS LARGE MOISTURE PLUMB EXTENDING FROM THE
NEW ENGLAND STATES DOWN TO HURRICANE DOLLY JUST OFF THE SOUTHERN TX
COAST. THERE IS ALSO A SHORTWAVE LOCATED ALONG THE AL/MS/TN BORDERS
MOVING SE. THIS WAVE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SE AS IT IS
BEING PUSHED BY THE MAIN FRONT NOW EXTENDING FROM SOUTHERN OHIO TO
NEBRASKA. THIS SHORTWAVE WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF AFTERNOON AND
EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO GEORGIA TODAY. EXPECT
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO DEVELOP MAINLY ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
SECTIONS BUT THERE WILL BE SOME SCATTERED STORMS NORTH. THIS LOOKS
TO BE ANOTHER ISOLATED SEVERE DAY SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY WITH STRONG
GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND LARGE HAIL. THE MAIN COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD TODAY AND MOVE INTO N GA BY 06Z THU. THIS
FRONT IS VERY WELL ORGANIZED FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR SO IT SHOULD
SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA BEFORE STALLING SOMEWHERE ACROSS S GA/N FL
THU EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT FRI BUT IT WILL
BE VERY WEAK AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE MOVES IN TO N GA FRI NIGHT. WENT
VERY CLOSE TO MOS GUIDANCE WITH TEMPS IN THE SHORT TERM AS IT LOOKS
LIKE THEY HAVE PICKED UP ON THE EXPECTED CLOUD COVER OVER THE STATE
TODAY AND THE FRONT SWEEPING THROUGH FOR THU.
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
PATTERN LOOKS TO REMAIN CONSISTENT THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD. THE
MODELS SHOWS A FRONT STALLING ACROSS GA SAT AND THEN ANOTHER ONE
MOVES INTO THE AREA TUE. COMBINE THIS WITH ACTIVE NW FLOW ALOFT AND
WILL KEEP A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY THROUGH THE EXTENDED. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL
KEEP TEMPERATURES NEAR SEASONAL NORMS AS WELL.
01
&&
.AVIATION...
MIX OF MVFR/VFR VISIBILITIES AT THE LOCAL TERMINALS EARLY THIS
MORNING WITH MOST SITES IN THE 5-7SM RANGE. MAY SEE THESE DIP A BIT
LOWER UNTIL SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE...THOUGH ITS LOOKING INCREASINGLY
LIKELY ATL WILL REMAIN VFR 6-7SM WITH MANY OTHER SITES HITTING 3-5SM
BRIEFLY EARLY THIS MORNING. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD REDEVELOP EARLIER
THAN YESTERDAY AND CLOSER INITIALLY TO ATL/AHN AS SFC TROUGH IS JUST
NW OF THE INTERSTATE 85 CORRIDOR FROM THE CAROLINAS INTO N GA...WITH
INITIAL THUNDER AROUND ATL BETWEEN 16-18Z. ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO WIND
DOWN EARLIEST NORTH...BUT REMAINING NEAR TO THE SOUTH OF ATL THROUGH
MUCH OF THE EVENING. WINDS SHOULD BE FROM THE WEST AND LIGHT (~10KT
OR LESS) THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORMS
WHICH MAY AGAIN GENERATE LOCALLY STRONG WINDS AND CIGS BELOW THE
PREVAILING CU AT 4-5KFT.
RRH
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS 91 66 91 68 93 / 60 40 20 10 20
ATLANTA 88 68 90 70 89 / 60 30 20 10 20
BLAIRSVILLE 85 61 89 62 89 / 60 30 10 10 20
CARTERSVILLE 89 64 88 65 91 / 60 30 10 10 20
COLUMBUS 89 72 92 71 94 / 70 40 20 10 20
GAINESVILLE 89 67 89 69 90 / 60 40 10 10 20
MACON 92 71 93 71 95 / 60 40 20 10 20
ROME 88 66 91 67 94 / 60 30 10 10 20
PEACHTREE CITY 88 65 90 66 90 / 60 30 20 10 20
VIDALIA 92 72 92 71 94 / 60 50 20 20 30
&&
.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
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