000
FXUS62 KFFC 191851
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
251 PM EDT SAT JUL 19 2008
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
SEEING SOME WEAK SHOWERS DEVELOPING IN AN ARC OF CUMULUS THAT
SEEMS TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH MOISTURE FROM NEWLY-FORMED TS
CRISTOBAL. AS HE CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEAST...THESE SHOULD
DISSIPATE TONIGHT. LOWS LAST NIGHT WERE MUCH HIGHER THAN THE MAV
PROGGED...CLOSER TO MET LOWS...SO HAVE AGAIN LEANED TOWARD MET
NUMBERS FOR TONIGHT AS DEWPOINTS CONTINUE TO REMAIN A LITTLE
HIGHER THAN MODEL FORECASTS.
WEAK FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE WORK
WEEK BUT THE MAIN SYSTEM WILL REMAIN UP IN THE GREAT LAKES...VERY
LITTLE FLOW ALOFT TO WORK WITH ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. THE FRONT
WILL FALL APART AS IT APPROACHES OUR AREA AND FOR SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY IT SHOULD MOSTLY ONLY BE AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS...ALTHOUGH
WITH ADDITIONAL DAYTIME HEATING ON MONDAY CANNOT RULE OUT SOME
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SO HAVE INCLUDED SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS. CERTAINLY NOT IMPRESSED OVERALL. THE OTHER FACTOR IN
ALL OF THIS IS WHAT THE DEVELOPING SYSTEM...CURRENTLY IN THE
CARIBBEAN...WILL DO WHEN IT ENTERS THE GULF. SHOULD NOT SEE MUCH
IN THE WAY OF AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE FOR THE SHORT TERM AS IT IS
CURRENTLY PROGGED BUT AS THE UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO DEEPEN OVER
SOUTHEAST CANADA MONDAY NIGHT THE WEAK FRONT WILL STALL OVER THE
SOUTHEAST AND MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO POOL IN THE AREA...SETTING
THE STAGE FOR A WETTER PERIOD FOR THE EXTENDED.
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS MENTIONED ABOVE...TROPICAL LOW ENTERS THE GULF MONDAY NIGHT AND
WITH THE SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN MOISTURE FOR THE FIRST PART OF
THE EXTENDED...SHOULD SEE A RETURN TO SUMMERTIME PATTERN OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE STALLED FRONT. DEFINITELY SOME
DISAGREEMENT IN HOW THE EXTENDED MODELS HANDLE THE DEEPENING OF
THE UPPER LOW OVER SOUTHEAST CANADA WHICH WILL OBVIOUSLY HAVE
IMPLICATIONS IN THE STRENGTH OF THE SURFACE FRONT...BUT IN ANY
CASE WE LOOK LIKE WE`LL HAVE A WETTER PATTERN THROUGH THE LATTER
HALF OF THE WEEK.
TDP
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
NO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AS MOISTURE FROM TS CRISTOBAL LINGERS...AND WEAK
FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST EARLY NEXT WEEK.
TDP
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS 69 98 71 97 72 / 10 10 10 20 10
ATLANTA 73 95 74 97 74 / 10 10 10 20 10
BLAIRSVILLE 63 90 66 92 67 / 10 10 10 20 10
CARTERSVILLE 65 95 69 96 67 / 10 10 10 20 10
COLUMBUS 72 98 73 96 76 / 10 10 10 20 10
GAINESVILLE 70 95 72 94 72 / 10 10 10 20 10
MACON 69 98 73 98 73 / 10 10 10 20 10
ROME 66 96 69 97 68 / 10 10 10 20 10
PEACHTREE CITY 63 95 65 95 68 / 10 10 10 20 10
VIDALIA 71 100 71 99 75 / 10 10 10 20 10
&&
.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
TDP
