000
FNUS53 KDTX 101947
FWFDTX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
340 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARDS THE MID ATLANTIC STATES THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. MEANWHILE A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
PLAINS. LOW PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN AS IT TRACKS FROM THE UPPER
MIDWEST INTO ONTARIO ON TUESDAY...PULLING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES TUESDAY NIGHT.
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-111300-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
340 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-91 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-44 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1220-1720 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (210).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-87 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......760-1260 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (180).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ049-054-055-062-111300-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
340 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST UP TO 5
MPH...THEN BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-47 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1070-1570 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (220).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-50 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......690-1190 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (170).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-111300-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
340 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......320-520 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-43 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1330-1830 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (210).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......520-720 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-44 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1290-1790 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (310).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.COLUMBUS DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
$$
KEC
000
FNUS83 KMQT 101946
FWMMQT
FCST,200103,081011,13,1,65,50,1,1,S,7,M,65,42,90,40,0,0,N
FCST,201002,081011,13,1,63,49,1,1,S,9,M,63,40,98,48,0,0,N
FCST,201205,081011,13,1,61,56,1,1,SE,5,M,62,42,97,51,0,0,N
FCST,201504,081011,13,1,64,46,1,1,SE,9,M,64,43,87,46,0,0,N
FCST,201102,081011,13,1,62,55,1,1,SE,11,M,62,41,100,47,0,0,N
000
FNUS83 KAPX 101927
FWMAPX
FCST,202902,081011,13,0,69,32,1,1,SE,09,M,69,38,96,32,0,0,N
FCST,202010,081011,13,0,67,40,1,1,SE,06,M,67,44,86,40,0,0,N
FCST,203101,081011,13,0,70,38,1,1,SE,07,M,70,41,100,38,0,0,N
FCST,203601,081011,13,0,66,42,1,1,E,07,M,66,40,100,42,0,0,N
000
FNUS53 KAPX 101926
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
326 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
...DRY AND WARMER THROUGH MONDAY...
.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL
SLIDE SLOWLY TO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES SATURDAY...THEN TO THE
MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES BY SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH
THE GREAT LAKES LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. THE DRIEST CONDITIONS
WILL GENERALLY OCCUR SATURDAY...THEN A SOUTH FLOW OF WARMER AIR
WILL BRING INCREASED MOISTURE FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
MIZ016-017-019-021>023-110815-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
326 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41...EXCEPT 43-48 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 2 DEGREES WARMER
ALONG THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78...EXCEPT 57-62 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT...EXCEPT 53-58 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (560).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT...EXCEPT 75-80 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80...EXCEPT 57-62 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT...EXCEPT 78-83 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (810).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-110815-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
326 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41...EXCEPT 44-49 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73...EXCEPT 58-63 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT...EXCEPT 51-56 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (450).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49...EXCEPT 53-58 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 72-77 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78...EXCEPT 60-65 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (610).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-110815-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
326 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41...EXCEPT 44-49 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 5 DEGREES COOLER
ALONG THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT...EXCEPT 75-80 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75...EXCEPT 58-63 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT...EXCEPT 50-55 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 21 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (620).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-87 PERCENT...EXCEPT 70-75 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79...EXCEPT 59-64 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT...EXCEPT 72-77 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (830).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ031>033-110815-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
326 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT...EXCEPT 42-47 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (660).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 9 DEGREES WARMER
ALONG THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT...EXCEPT 69-74 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79...EXCEPT AROUND 70 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT...EXCEPT 55-60 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (920).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-110815-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
326 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (520).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (830).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.COLUMBUS DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
FF
000
FNUS53 KGRR 101920
FWFGRR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
320 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
...DRY AND WARM...
.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTROL OUR WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND
PROVIDING DRY AND WARM WEATHER. THE FIRE DANGER COULD INCREASE
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS HIGHS TRY TO TOP 80 AND AFTERNOON HUMIDITY
LEVELS FALL.
MIZ037>039-043>045-110815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
320 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 1200-1700
FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 36 PERCENT
INLAND.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 3
PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
5500-6000 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD) INCREASING TO 1000 (EXCELLENT) IN
THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ040-046-110815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
320 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-5800 FT AGL
IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD) INCREASING TO 1000 (EXCELLENT) IN
THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-110815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
320 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...3100-3600 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...2600-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO
4700-5200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-3600 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
5800-6300 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-1100 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-110815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
320 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-900 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-110815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
320 PM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700-5200 FT AGL
IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-1000 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.COLUMBUS DAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 60.
$$
000
FNUS83 KGRR 101916
FWMGRR
FCST,203802,081011,13,1,73,34,1,1,SE,10,M,73,39,89,30,0,0,N
000
FNUS53 KMQT 100944
FWFMQT
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
544 AM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
...DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS WEEKEND...
.DISCUSSION...A BROAD UPPER RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE AREA THIS
WEEKEND WILL GENERALLY KEEP THE REGION DRY. THE EXCEPTION IS A
FEW LIGHT SPRINKLES EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF
OF UPPER MICHIGAN AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE PASSES BY. THE NEXT
CHANCE FOR A SOAKING RAINFALL WOULD BE ON MONDAY AND MONDAY
NIGHT AS A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.
MIZ002-009-084-110945-
WEST - GOGEBIC...ONTONAGON AND SOUTHERN HOUGHTON COUNTIES-
544 AM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008 /444 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2008/
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 5
TO 10 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........4.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT INLAND TO 75 PERCENT AT THE
SHORE.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH DECREASING TO 5 MPH OR
LESS LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO 5
TO 10 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........8.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ001-003-110945-
KEWEENAW PENINSULA - KEWEENAW AND NORTHERN HOUGHTON COUNTIES-
544 AM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT INLAND TO 52 PERCENT AT THE
SHORE.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........3.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 MPH OR
LESS LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69 INLAND TO AROUND 61 AT THE SHORE.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........8.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ004-005-110945-
NORTH CENTRAL - BARAGA AND MARQUETTE COUNTIES-
544 AM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY BECOMING SOUTH 5
MPH OR LESS BY EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........5.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38 INLAND TO AROUND 44 AT THE SHORE.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT INLAND TO 87 PERCENT AT THE
SHORE.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH DECREASING TO 5 MPH OR
LESS LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO 10
TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........8.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ010>012-110945-
SOUTH CENTRAL - IRON...DICKINSON AND MENOMINEE COUNTIES-
444 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 MPH OR LESS SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
BY LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST
5 TO 10 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........6.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39 INLAND TO AROUND 48 AT THE SHORE.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT INLAND TO 71 PERCENT AT THE
SHORE.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH DECREASING TO 5 MPH OR
LESS LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........8.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ006>008-085-110945-
NORTHEAST -
ALGER...LUCE...NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT AND CHIPPEWA COUNTIES-
544 AM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT INLAND TO 54 PERCENT AT THE
SHORE.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 MPH OR
LESS LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........5.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO 5 TO 10
MPH LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO
15 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........8.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ013>015-110945-
SOUTHEAST - DELTA...SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT AND MACKINAC COUNTIES-
544 AM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 5 TO
10 MPH BY LATE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........6.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44 INLAND TO AROUND 45 AT THE SHORE.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT INLAND TO 92 PERCENT AT THE
SHORE.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH
LATE.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT INLAND TO 51 PERCENT AT THE
SHORE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST
10 TO 15 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
HOURS OF SUN........8.
LAL.................1.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEST HALF. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS 47 TO 52. HIGHS 67 TO 72 INLAND TO AROUND 65 AT THE SHORE.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.COLUMBUS DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 49 TO 54. HIGHS 61 TO 66. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 38 TO 43 INLAND TO AROUND 46 AT THE SHORE.
HIGHS 53 TO 58. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
LOWS AROUND 38 INLAND TO AROUND 45 AT THE SHORE. HIGHS AROUND 56.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 36 INLAND TO AROUND 43 AT THE SHORE. HIGHS 50 TO 55.
.OUTLOOK FOR FRI OCT 17 THROUGH THU OCT 23...EXPECT NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION.
$$
...................SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST DATA....................
THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) TODAY...
HAINES MIXING TRANSPORT VENTILATION
WIMS ID/ SITE/ INDEX / HEIGHT / WIND / INDEX
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 5 MODERATE / 3800 / S 6 / 228 (F)
201002 / DOE LAKE/ 5 MODERATE / 3800 / SW 5 / 190 (F)
201205 / ELKHORN/ 5 MODERATE / 3800 / SW 5 / 190 (F)
200703 / GWINN/ 5 MODERATE / 4200 / SW 4 / 168 (F)
200903 / LABRANCHE/ 5 MODERATE / 3800 / S 4 / 152 (F)
200503 / PELKIE/ 4 LOW / 4300 / SW 5 / 215 (F)
201504 / RACO/ 4 LOW / 4700 / W 10 / 470 (G)
200802 / RANDVILLE/ 5 MODERATE / 3700 / S 4 / 148 (F)
201401 / REXTON/ 5 MODERATE / 4800 / W 10 / 480 (G)
201505 / RUDYARD/ 4 LOW / 4900 / W 11 / 539 (G)
201202 / SENEY/ 5 MODERATE / 4500 / W 8 / 360 (G)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 4 LOW / 4800 / W 9 / 432 (G)
201102 / STONINGTON/ 5 MODERATE / 3800 / SW 4 / 152 (F)
200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 5 MODERATE / 3600 / SE 10 / 360 (G)
200103 / WATERSMEET/ 5 MODERATE / 3800 / S 8 / 304 (G)
/DRUMND ISLAND/ 5 MODERATE / 4100 / W 14 / 574 (G)
/ KEW/ 3 VERY LOW / 2900 / SW 10 / 290 (F)
THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) SAT...
HAINES MIXING TRANSPORT VENTILATION
WIMS ID/ SITE/ INDEX / HEIGHT / WIND / INDEX
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 5 MODERATE / 2000 / S 23 / 460 (G)
201002 / DOE LAKE/ 4 LOW / 1800 / S 29 / 522 (G)
201205 / ELKHORN/ 4 LOW / 1800 / S 27 / 486 (G)
200703 / GWINN/ 5 MODERATE / 2200 / S 27 / 594 (G)
200903 / LABRANCHE/ 5 MODERATE / 2500 / S 26 / 650 (E)
200503 / PELKIE/ 4 LOW / 1900 / S 24 / 456 (G)
201504 / RACO/ 5 MODERATE / 2800 / S 23 / 644 (E)
200802 / RANDVILLE/ 5 MODERATE / 2300 / S 24 / 552 (G)
201401 / REXTON/ 4 LOW / 2700 / S 24 / 648 (E)
201505 / RUDYARD/ 4 LOW / 2400 / S 20 / 480 (G)
201202 / SENEY/ 4 LOW / 2100 / S 28 / 588 (G)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 4 LOW / 2600 / S 27 / 702 (E)
201102 / STONINGTON/ 4 LOW / 1800 / S 27 / 486 (G)
200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 3 VERY LOW / 2500 / S 29 / 725 (E)
200103 / WATERSMEET/ 4 LOW / 2400 / S 27 / 648 (E)
/DRUMND ISLAND/ 4 LOW / 3000 / S 20 / 600 (E)
/ KEW/ 4 LOW / 400 / S 23 / 92 (P)
NOTE: MIXING HEIGHTS ARE IN FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE IN MILES PER HOUR
.....................................................................
THE FOLLOWING IS POINT FORECAST INFORMATION VALID AT 1 PM EST.
NOTE THAT THE QPF IS FROM 7 AM TO 1 PM EST. ALSO...WIND SPEEDS HAVE
BEEN REDUCED BY A FACTOR OF 0.7 BY THE REQUEST OF LOCAL FIRE OFFICIALS.
WIMS ID/ SITE/TEMP/ RH/WSPD/WDIR/ QPF
----------------------------------------------
471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 61/ 38/ 4/ SE/0.00
201002 / DOE LAKE/ 56/ 47/ 2/ S/0.00
201205 / ELKHORN/ 57/ 50/ 3/ S/0.00
200703 / GWINN/ 56/ 41/ 3/ S/0.00
200903 / LABRANCHE/ 58/ 42/ 3/ S/0.00
200503 / PELKIE/ 57/ 39/ 2/ S/0.00
201504 / RACO/ 56/ 55/ 3/ W/0.00
200802 / RANDVILLE/ 58/ 40/ 3/ S/0.00
201401 / REXTON/ 58/ 46/ 3/ SW/0.00
201505 / RUDYARD/ 57/ 55/ 3/ W/0.00
201202 / SENEY/ 57/ 48/ 2/ SW/0.00
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 57/ 54/ 2/ SW/0.00
201102 / STONINGTON/ 57/ 46/ 3/ S/0.00
200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 56/ 35/ 4/ SE/0.00
200103 / WATERSMEET/ 56/ 39/ 3/ S/0.00
/DRUMND ISLAND/ 55/ 60/ 5/ W/0.00
/ KEW/ 55/ 59/ 3/ SW/0.00
$$
MICHELS
000
FNUS53 KGRR 100832
FWFGRR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
432 AM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
...DRY INTO THE WEEKEND...
.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL POSITION ITSELF OVER THE REGION
THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY LEADING TO DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS.
DAYTIME HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP RATHER LOW BY SUNDAY AND
MONDAY...HOWEVER WINDS SPEEDS SHOULD STILL BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE.
MIZ037>039-043>045-102030-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
432 AM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...200 (FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 36 PERCENT
INLAND.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 3
PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ040-046-102030-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
432 AM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-102030-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
432 AM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
4100-4600 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-102030-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
432 AM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200 (FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-102030-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
432 AM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO
11 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.COLUMBUS DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.TUESDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
$$
000
FNUS53 KDTX 100735
FWFDTX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
331 AM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL SLOWLY SLIDE EAST
INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES SATURDAY...AND INTO THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC
STATES BY SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN SWEEP THROUGH THE GREAT
LAKES LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-102100-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
331 AM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) UNTIL ABOUT 6 PM...THEN
BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). AREAS OF
FROST THROUGH ABOUT 8 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH IN THE
MORNING...THEN BECOMING EAST.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH...THEN
BECOMING SOUTHEAST.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (190).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-82 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......760-960 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1290-1790 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (230).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ049-054-055-062-102100-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
331 AM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) UNTIL ABOUT 4 PM...THEN
BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). AREAS OF
FROST THROUGH ABOUT 8 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-46 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE
MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT...FINALLY
BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1840-2340 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5
MPH...THEN BECOMING SOUTH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (130).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......520-720 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-44 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1130-1630 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (240).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-102100-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
331 AM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) UNTIL ABOUT 6 PM...THEN
BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). AREAS OF
FROST THROUGH ABOUT 8 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING EAST.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1980-2480 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (190).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......920-1120 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1320-1820 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (240).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.COLUMBUS DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S.
$$
KURIMSKI
000
FNUS53 KAPX 100728
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
328 AM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
...WARMER AND DRIER THROUGH MONDAY...
.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN A SLIDE OVER TO THE ATLANTIC
COAST TODAY. LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP OFF LAKE HURON AND
WILL KEEP NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN SLIGHTLY COOLER AND MORE MOIST
COMPARED TO NORTHWEST LOWER...INCLUDING SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NATIONAL
LAKESHORE. A SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW EVENTUALLY DEVELOPS ACROSS
THE REGION SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. WARMER AIR MOVES INTO NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN...WHILE THE LOW LEVEL AIR MASS REMAINS ON THE DRY SIDE.
THIS WILL RESULT IN INCREASED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. CRITICAL LEVELS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME AS WINDS WILL
REMAIN BELOW THRESHOLDS. HOWEVER...MONDAY AFTERNOON APPEARS TO BE
HAVE TO MOST CONCERN...AS WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME A BIT GUSTY.
AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES ARE NOT FORECAST NEAR CRITICAL LEVELS AT THIS
TIME...BUT EXPECTATIONS ARE FOR LOWERING HUMIDITY FORECASTS OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MIZ016-017-019-021>023-102100-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
328 AM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67...EXCEPT 54-59 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT...EXCEPT 55-60 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (450).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42...EXCEPT 48-53 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76...EXCEPT 58-63 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 12 DEGREES WARMER
ALONG THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT...EXCEPT 64-69 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (560).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-102100-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
328 AM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70...EXCEPT AROUND 61 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT...EXCEPT 50-55 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (420).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41...EXCEPT 46-51 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70...EXCEPT AROUND 61 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT...EXCEPT 62-67 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (450).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-102100-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
328 AM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70...EXCEPT 54-59 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT...EXCEPT 57-62 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (140).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42...EXCEPT 48-53 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79...EXCEPT 62-67 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT...EXCEPT 58-63 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (620).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ031>033-102100-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
328 AM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT...EXCEPT 42-47 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (120).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 2 DEGREES COOLER
ALONG THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 8 DEGREES WARMER
ALONG THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (660).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-102100-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
328 AM EDT FRI OCT 10 2008
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (250).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (520).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.COLUMBUS DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SD
000
FNUS83 KMQT 091942
FWMMQT
FCST,200103,081010,13,2,56,45,1,1,SE,4,M,58,34,96,28,0,0,N
FCST,201002,081010,13,2,57,52,1,1,S,3,M,61,41,89,33,0,0,N
FCST,201205,081010,13,1,57,53,1,1,S,4,M,61,41,91,31,0,0,N
FCST,201504,081010,13,2,58,55,1,1,W,3,M,61,44,88,45,0,0,N
FCST,201102,081010,13,2,58,52,1,1,S,5,M,61,38,91,32,0,0,N
000
FNUS83 KAPX 091931
FWMAPX
FCST,202902,081010,13,1,64,34,1,1,SW,02,M,65,32,92,22,0,0,N
FCST,202010,081010,13,1,64,37,1,1,E,02,M,64,41,70,29,0,0,N
FCST,203101,081010,13,0,65,34,1,1,S,04,M,65,35,78,30,0,0,N
FCST,203601,081010,13,1,65,38,1,1,SE,01,M,67,33,100,23,0,0,N
000
FNUS83 KGRR 091926
FWMGRR
FCST,203802,081010,13,0,66,32,1,1,SE,06,M,66,30,92,27,0,0,N
000
FNUS83 KGRR 091243
FWMGRR
FCST,203802,081010,13,1,68,29,1,1,SE,06,M,68,31,92,29,0,0,N
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