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Lawrenceville Weather

Weather for West Seneca, New York

Lat: 42.84N, Lon: 78.75W
Wx Zone: NYZ010 CWA Used: BUF

New York Drought Monitor

The New York Drought monitor is a subset of the United States Monitor, issued every Thursday morning, based on drought conditions the previous Tuesday. The map below shows the current drought level around the state, and the percent of New York land area in each drought level compared to the previous week.

Read an explanation of the drought intensities and what they mean.

New York Drought Monitor

New York Hydrologic Information Statement

Note that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.

000
FGUS71 KBUF 131813
ESFBUF
NYC003-009-011-013-029-037-045-049-051-055-063-069-073-075-117-
121-151800-

Winter/Spring Flood Potential Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
210 PM EDT Thu Apr 13 2017

...NEAR NORMAL FLOOD RISK EXCEPT ABOVE NORMAL RISK IN THE GENESEE 
RIVER AND FINGER LAKES BASINS THROUGH LATE APRIL...

This is the eighth and last winter / spring flood potential outlook 
of the 2017 season. The outlooks are produced to highlight the 
hydrometeorological conditions that combine to produce an above, 
below, or near normal flood risk for the winter and spring season. 
This includes snow cover and water equivalent, creek and river 
levels and amount of ice cover on them, along with the expected 
precipitation over the next few weeks. 

...CURRENT CONDITIONS SUMMARY... 

Temperatures were near to above normal for the first few weeks of 
April. This combined with some periodic rain events melted the 
remaining snow pack. Soils remain saturated due to recent rainfall 
with most rivers and creeks running near to above normal. The 
growing season has begun across the region with leafing occurring 
across the west and Finger Lakes regions. The onset of the growing 
season reduces the flood risk due to less expected runoff. Ground 
water and reservoir levels have recovered to near normal levels 
across most of the region following last years extreme drought.  

The following is a summary of conditions and outlook by basin as of 
April 13, 2017:

...BUFFALO AREA CREEKS / LAKE ERIE BASIN...
.SNOW COVER..........NONE.
.WATER EQUIVALENT....NONE.
.CREEK FLOWS.........NORMAL.
.CREEK ICE...........NONE.
.GROUND FROST........NONE.
.GROUND STATE........SATURATED.

...GENESEE RIVER BASIN / FINGER LAKES / ROCHESTER AREA...
.SNOW COVER..........NONE.
.WATER EQUIVALENT....NONE.
.RIVER/CREEK FLOWS...ABOVE NORMAL.
.RIVER/CREEK ICE.....NONE.
.GROUND FROST........NONE.
.GROUND STATE........SATURATED.

...ALLEGHENY RIVER BASIN...
.SNOW COVER..........NONE.
.WATER EQUIVALENT....NONE.
.RIVER/CREEK FLOWS...NORMAL.
.RIVER CREEK ICE.....NONE.
.GROUND FROST........NONE.
.GROUND STATE........SATURATED.

...BLACK RIVER BASINS / TUG HILL...
.SNOW COVER..........PATCHY.
.WATER EQUIVALENT....LESS THAN AN INCH.
.RIVER/CREEK FLOWS...ABOVE NORMAL.
.RIVER/CREEK ICE.....NONE.
.GROUND FROST........NONE.
.GROUND STATE........SATURATED.

...TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK... 

Temperatures are forecast to be seasonable with highs fluctuating in 
to the 50s and 60s, with the exception of this upcoming weekend when 
temperatures will briefly rise to well above normal with highs in 
the 70s. A couple of systems are projected to bring periodic rain 
showers to the area, however amounts do not look sufficient to 
support flooding at this time. The 8 to 14 day outlook is for near 
to above normal precipitation and below normal temperatures. 

...FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK... 

The flood risk is near normal for most of the area, with an above 
normal risk for the Genesee and Finger Lakes region due to elevated 
streamflows. The combination of saturated ground conditions but the 
elimination of the snowpack leads to a near normal flood risk for 
most of the region. Based on the latest forecast guidance any 
rainfall events over the next two weeks are not likely to produce 
flooding.

...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... 

Real time river information and probabilistic forecasts for 
specific locations along area rivers across western New York can be 
found at www.weather.gov/buf by clicking on the rivers and lakes 
AHPS link on the side of the page. Since conditions can change 
please refer to the latest flood warnings, watches, and statements 
for additional information. 

...AKNOWLEDGEMENTS... 

Thanks to all the observers and agencies which have helped gather 
data in support of this outlook. This is expected to be the final 
winter/spring flood outlook. 

$$

JAMISON/HITCHCOCK