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Lawrenceville Weather

Weather for Texarkana, Texas

Lat: 33.44N, Lon: 94.07W
Wx Zone: TXZ097 CWA Used: SHV

Texas Drought Monitor

The Texas Drought monitor is a subset of the United States Monitor, issued every Thursday morning, based on drought conditions the previous Tuesday. The map below shows the current drought level around the state, and the percent of Texas land area in each drought level compared to the previous week.

Read an explanation of the drought intensities and what they mean.

Texas Drought Monitor

Texas Hydrologic Information Statement

Note that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.

000
FGUS74 KSHV 211642
ESFSHV
ARC003-027-139-TXC001-005-073-225-347-373-401-405-419-455-457- 
LAC015-119-221042-

PROBABILISTIC HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1142 AM CDT THU MAY 21 2015

...Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) long range
probabilistic outlook for the Sabine River basin of East Texas...

In the table below...the 90 through 10 percent columns indicate the
chance the river could rise above the listed stage levels during
the next 90 days.  For example...the Sabine River near Mineola
Texas flood stage is 14 feet.  There is a 50 percent chance the
Sabine River will rise above 12.0 feet during the next 90 days.

        Chance of exceeding stages at specific locations
               valid for May 21 - August 20 2015

     Location      FS  90%  80%  70%  60%  50%  40%  30%  20%  10%
------------------ --  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---

Lake Fork Creek
 Quitman 4S        16 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.3 16.8 18.4
Sabine River
 Mineola 4S        14 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 13.3 15.4 15.8 16.9
 Gladewater 3WSW   26 25.3 25.3 25.3 25.3 25.3 25.3 25.3 28.9 32.4
 Longview          25 22.4 22.4 22.4 22.4 22.4 22.4 23.7 25.6 28.3
 Beckville 8NE     26 24.7 24.7 24.7 24.7 24.7 24.7 24.7 26.7 28.9
 Logansport        28 29.9 29.9 29.9 30.0 30.1 30.7 31.3 32.4 34.0
Big Sandy Creek
 Big Sandy 4NE     17  9.9  9.9  9.9  9.9 10.5 11.1 12.1 13.1 14.8
Rabbit Creek
 Kilgore           10  6.3  6.3  6.3  6.3  6.3  7.4  9.3 10.0 12.7

 Location     90%   80%   70%   60%   50%   40%   30%   20%   10%
 ----------- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Lk Cherokee  280.6 280.6 280.6 280.6 280.6 280.6 280.6 280.6 281.1
Lk Martin    306.2 306.2 306.2 306.2 306.2 306.3 306.4 306.6 307.3
Lk Murvaul   266.1 266.1 266.1 266.1 266.1 266.1 266.4 267.2 268.4

This long range probabilistic outlook uses probabilities computed 
using multiple scenarios from 60 years of historical climatological 
and stream flow data.  These probabilities also account for the 
current river flows and soil moisture conditions.  By providing the 
complete range of probabilistic numbers...the level of risk 
associated with long range planning decisions can be determined.

Additional supportive data and explanations are available on the 
internet at this URL:  water.weather.gov/ahps2/area.php?wfo=shv

Long range probabilistic outlooks are issued during the third 
Thursday of every month.

$$