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Lawrenceville Weather

Weather for Texarkana, Texas

Lat: 33.44N, Lon: 94.07W
Wx Zone: TXZ097 CWA Used: SHV

Texas Drought Monitor

The Texas Drought monitor is a subset of the United States Monitor, issued every Thursday morning, based on drought conditions the previous Tuesday. The map below shows the current drought level around the state, and the percent of Texas land area in each drought level compared to the previous week.

Read an explanation of the drought intensities and what they mean.

Texas Drought Monitor

Texas Hydrologic Information Statement

Note that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.

000
FGUS74 KSHV 191634
ESFSHV
ARC057-073-081-091-OKC089-TXC037-387-LAC013-015-017-021-043-069-073- 
081-111-201034-

PROBABILISTIC HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1034 AM CST THU FEB 19 2015

...Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) long range
probabilistic outlook for the Neches River basin of East Texas...

In the table below...the 90 through 10 percent columns indicate the
chance the river could rise above the listed stage levels during
the next 90 days.  For example...the Mud Creek near Jacksonville
Texas flood stage is 9 feet.  There is a 50 percent change the
Mud Creek will rise above 7.7 feet during the next 90 days.

        Chance of exceeding stages at specific locations
              valid for February 19 - May 21 2015

     Location      FS  90%  80%  70%  60%  50%  40%  30%  20%  10%
------------------ --  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---

Mud Creek
 Jacksonville 7E    9  6.8  7.3  7.5  7.5  7.7  7.7  7.9  8.6  9.7
East Fork Angelina River
 Cushing 4N        10  9.1  9.4  9.7  9.8  9.9 10.0 10.3 10.5 11.0
Angelina River
 Alto 8E           29 19.0 24.2 26.1 26.4 27.0 27.6 28.1 28.3 28.9
 Lufkin 8N         10  8.8 10.4 10.9 11.0 11.4 11.9 12.6 13.2 13.7
Attoyac Bayou
 Chireno 3E        14 10.9 14.5 16.6 17.3 18.0 18.7 19.5 20.1 20.8
Ayish Bayou
 San Augustine 10S 12  8.8 10.4 10.9 11.0 11.4 11.9 12.6 13.2 13.7
Neches River
 Neches 4NE        12  8.2  8.2  8.7  9.8 11.7 12.1 12.9 13.9 14.5
 Alto 8SW          16  8.8 10.4 11.1 12.5 13.4 14.2 14.9 15.3 16.0
 Diboll 4S         12 11.2 11.7 12.2 12.8 13.1 13.5 13.8 14.1 15.1
 Rockland          26  8.8  9.5 11.1 12.6 13.5 14.4 15.5 16.8 21.7

Location      90%   80%   70%   60%   50%   40%   30%   20%   10%
------------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Lk Palestine 345.6 345.6 345.6 345.6 345.7 345.9 346.0 346.1 346.2

This long range probabilistic outlook uses probabilities computed 
using multiple scenarios from 60 years of historical climatological 
and stream flow data.  These probabilities also account for the 
current river flows and soil moisture conditions.  By providing the 
complete range of probabilistic numbers...the level of risk 
associated with long range planning decisions can be determined.

Additional supportive data and explanations are available on the 
internet at this URL:  http://ahps.srh.weather.gov/index.php?wfo=shv 
(internet address URL is all lower case).

Long range probabilistic outlooks are issued during the third 
Thursday of every month.

$$