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Lawrenceville Weather

Weather for Sutersville, Pennsylvania

Lat: 40.24N, Lon: 79.8W
Wx Zone: PAZ073 CWA Used: PBZ

Pennsylvania Drought Monitor

The Pennsylvania Drought monitor is a subset of the United States Monitor, issued every Thursday morning, based on drought conditions the previous Tuesday. The map below shows the current drought level around the state, and the percent of Pennsylvania land area in each drought level compared to the previous week.

Read an explanation of the drought intensities and what they mean.

Pennsylvania Drought Monitor

Pennsylvania Hydrologic Information Statement

Note that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.

000
FGUS71 KPBZ 191607
ESFPBZ
MDC023-OHC013-019-029-031-059-067-081-111-119-121-157-PAC003-005-
007-019-031-051-053-059-063-065-073-085-121-125-129-WVC009-029-
049-051-061-069-077-093-103-021615-

WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
1207 PM EDT THU MAR 19 2015

* ...WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK... *

THE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS ABOVE NORMAL OVER THE OHIO RIVER...

AN ABOVE NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL MEANS WIDESPREAD FLOODING COULD 
OCCUR WITH WATER LEVELS HAVING SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS.

A NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL MEANS OCCASIONAL FLOODING COULD OCCUR WITH 
WATER LEVELS HAVING MINOR IMPACTS.

FLOOD OUTLOOKS ARE ISSUED BIWEEKLY DURING THE WINTER AND SPRING TO 
SUMMARIZE CURRENT CONDITIONS AND ASSESS THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING 
ACROSS THE REGION.

FACTORS TO CONSIDER WHEN ASSESSING FLOOD POTENTIAL THIS TIME OF
YEAR ARE CURRENT RIVER AND RESERVOIR LEVELS...SNOW PACK DEPTH AND
WATER CONTENT...ICE COVERAGE ON AREA RIVERS AND THE LAKE...SOIL
MOISTURE...AND WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL.

..OVERVIEW...
HE PREVAILING STORM TRACK DURING WINTER HAS RESEMBLED AN EL NINO 
SIGNATURE ACROSS THE U.S...PREDICTED SINCE THE SUMMER OF 2014...WITH 
STORM SYSTEMS HITTING THE WEST COAST...THEN MOVING ACROSS THE DEEP 
SOUTH BEFORE CURVING UP THE EAST COAST OR OUT INTO THE WESTERN NORTH 
ATLANTIC BASIN. THE LACK OF PHASING OF THE POLAR AND SUBTROPICAL JET 
STREAMS HAS RESULTED IN MAINLY LIGHT TO MODERATE PRECIPITATION 
EVENTS IN THE OHIO VALLEY/LAKE ERIE DRAINAGE.

FOR THE METEOROLOGICAL WINTER 2015...TEMPERATURES IN THE OHIO 
VALLEY/LAKE ERIE DRAINAGE WERE BELOW NORMAL...AND PRECIPITATION 
AVERAGED SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL WITH ISOLATED LOCATIONS IN THE UPPER 
OHIO VALLEY HAVING SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION. 

...CURRENT RIVER AND RESERVOIR LEVELS...
STREAMFLOWS ARE CURRENTLY ABOVE NORMAL IN THE OHIO VALLEY/LAKE ERIE 
DRAINAGE. MOST RESERVOIR LEVELS IN THE REGION ARE AT NORMAL WINTER 
POOL LEVELS. RESERVOIR STORAGE FOR 10 OF THE 16 OF THE RESERVOIRS  
IN THE REGION ARE AT 20 PERCENT TO 68 PERCENT OF CAPACITY. WATER 
SUPPLY SHORTAGES ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.

STREAMFLOWS ARE CURRENTLY ABOVE NORMAL SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER WITH 
WIDESPREAD FLOODING OCCURRING ACROSS WEST VIRGINIA/SOUTHWEST 
PENNSYLVANIA. NEAR NORMAL STREAMFLOWS ARE OCCURRING NORTH OF THE 
MAINSTEM.

...SNOW AND ICE COVERAGE...
SOILS ARE EXCESSIVELY WET SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER...AND NORMALLY 
MOIST NORTH OF THE MAINSTEM.

SIGNIFICANT MELTING OF THE SNOWPACK HAS OCCURRED SINCE EARLY MARCH 
RESULTING IN ELEVATED RIVER LEVELS...WITH NO SNOWPACK REMAINING.

THE FLOOD POTENTIAL ACROSS CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE ALLEGHENY RIVER 
IS ICE ACCUMULATION. IN ADDITION TO FLOODING DUE TO RUNOFF...ICE JAM 
FLOODING REMAINS A CONCERN IN THE ICED-UP RIVER SECTIONS.

...PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE FORECASTS...
THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST WILL BE NEAR NORMAL OVER THE 
REGION THROUGH THE NEXT TWO WEEKS. THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER'S 
8-14 DAY OUTLOOKS SUGGESTS NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL 
PRECIPITATION.

...LONG TERM OUTLOOKS...
THE WEATHER PATTERN APPEARS TO BE ON THE VERGE OF BREAKING THE EL 
NINO SIGNATURE PERSISTING THIS PAST WINTER. FOR THE OHIO VALLEY AND 
LAKE ERIE DRAINAGE...MILDER TEMPERATURES ALSO WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY 
A MORE ACTIVE STORM TRACK THIS SPRING WITH OCCASIONAL PHASING OF 
THE SUBTROPICAL AND POLAR JET STREAMS.   

...FLOOD POTENTIAL SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
BASED ON THE ABOVE INFORMATION...THE WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL 
OVER THE NEXT 2 WEEKS IS ABOVE NORMAL. IN THE LONG TERM...THE FLOOD 
POTENTIAL IS NEAR NORMAL. 

THE WEATHER PATTERN HAS BROKEN THE EL NINO SIGNATURE PERSISTING THIS 
PAST WINTER. FOR THE OHIO VALLEY AND LAKE ERIE DRAINAGE...MILDER 
TEMPERATURES ALSO WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A MORE ACTIVE STORM TRACK 
THIS SPRING WITH OCCASIONAL PHASING OF THE SUBTROPICAL AND POLAR 
JET STREAMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN EVENTS.  

HYDROLOGICALLY...THE RESULTING STREAMFLOWS WILL AVERAGE ABOVE 
NORMAL...AND WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITH WATER LEVELS 
HAVING SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS.

THE NEXT WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY 
APRIL 3 2015.

$$