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Lat: 42.12N, Lon: 72.54W
Wx Zone: MAZ011 CWA Used: BOX

Massachusetts Drought Monitor

The Massachusetts Drought monitor is a subset of the United States Monitor, issued every Thursday morning, based on drought conditions the previous Tuesday. The map below shows the current drought level around the state, and the percent of Massachusetts land area in each drought level compared to the previous week.

Read an explanation of the drought intensities and what they mean.

Massachusetts Drought Monitor

Massachusetts Hydrologic Information Statement

Note that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.

000
FGUS71 KBOX 201821
ESFBOX
CTC003-013-015-MAC001-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-
027-NHC005-011-RIC001-003-005-007-009-211415-

WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
220 PM EDT THU MAR 20 2014

...THE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS NEAR NORMAL ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW 
ENGLAND... 
...THE LONG TERM FLOOD POTENTIAL IS NEAR NORMAL SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND 
EXCEPT THE LOWER CONNECTICUT RIVER EAST SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES IN 
NORTHWEST MASSACHUSETTS DUE TO ABOVE NORMAL SNOWPACK IN THE 
HEAD WATERS OF THE CONNECTICUT RIVER...
...THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING DUE TO ICE JAMS IS ABOVE NORMAL
ACROSS FAR INTERIOR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...

THIS IS THE SEVENTH WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK OF THE 
2014 SEASON. FLOOD OUTLOOKS ARE ISSUED EVERY TWO WEEKS INTO EARLY 
SPRING TO ASSESS THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. THE OUTLOOKS ARE BASED 
ON CURRENT AND FORECAST HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS. THIS 
INCLUDES SNOW COVER AND SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT...STREAM AND RIVER 
LEVELS AND THE AMOUNT OF ICE COVERAGE...ALONG WITH EXPECTED 
TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION OVER THE NEXT TWO WEEKS.

...RECENT PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURES...

MARCH 2014 HAS SEEN BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE 19TH. 
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WERE 1.00 TO 2.50 INCHES BELOW NORMAL FOR THE 
TIME PERIOD OF MARCH 1ST THROUGH THE 19TH.
 
MARCH SO FAR HAS ALSO SEEN WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THOUGH 
THE 19TH THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND HAVE 
BEEN RANGING BETWEEN 6 AND 7 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

...OBSERVED SNOW DEPTHS AND WATER EQUIVALENTS...

ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM BOSTON MASSACHUSETTS TO 
HARTFORD CONNECTICUT...THERE IS LITTLE IF ANY SNOW LEFT ON THE 
GROUND. ACROSS THE REST OF INTERIOR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...SNOW 
DEPTHS ARE 10 INCHES OR LESS EXCEPT ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF 
NORTH CENTRAL AND WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND FAR NORTHWEST 
CONNECTICUT WHERE 1 TO 2 FEET OF SNOW REMAINS ABOVE 1000 FEET. PARTS 
OF THE BERKSHIRES IN NORTHWEST MASSACHUSETTS MAY HAVE SLIGHTLY 
HIGHER DEPTHS. SNOW DEPTHS FOR LATE MARCH ARE NOT TOO FAR FROM 
NORMAL ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

LESS THAN AN INCH OF WATER IS CONTAINED IN THE DWINDLING SNOWPACK 
ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM BOSTON MASSACHUSETTS TO 
HARTFORD CONNECTICUT. FURTHER INTO THE INTERIOR OF SOUTHERN NEW 
ENGLAND...SNOW WATER EQUIVALENTS AVERAGE BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES. 
HIGHER AMOUNTS...ON THE ORDER OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE FOUND ACROSS THE 
HIGH TERRAIN OF NORTH CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST 
CONNECTICUT WITH 3 TO 6 INCHES THE NORM ABOVE 1500 FEET IN THE 
BERKSHIRE MOUNTAINS IN NORTHWESTERN MASSACHUSETTS. SNOW WATER 
EQUIVALENTS...MUCH LIKE SNOW DEPTHS...ARE NEAR NORMAL FOR THE END OF 
WINTER ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

...RIVER AND ICE CONDITIONS...

RIVER FLOWS RANGED FROM NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW 
ENGLAND.  THE RIVER ICE ACROSS INTERIOR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND HAD 
CONTINUED TO DIMINISH SOMEWHAT...BUT THERE WERE STILL SOME LOCATIONS 
WHERE RIVER ICE LINGERED OVER NORTHWEST MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHWEST 
NEW HAMPSHIRE.

ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...TRIBUTARY RIVERS AND 
SMALL STREAM CONDITIONS RANGED FROM OPEN TO COMPLETELY ICE
COVERED.
 
IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...SMALL RIVER AND STREAM CONDITIONS 
VARIED...SOME WERE WIDE OPEN AND OTHERS ARE PARTIALLY ICE COVERED. 

RIVER ICE IS LESS OF AN ISSUE TOWARDS THE COASTLINE...INCLUDING 
RHODE ISLAND...AND EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS WHERE MOST RIVERS ARE NOW 
ICE FREE.

IN SUMMARY...RIVER ICE CONTINUES TO BE ABOVE NORMAL IN EXTENT AND 
THICKNESS ACROSS SOME STREAMS AND SMALL RIVERS IN INTERIOR SOUTHERN 
NEW ENGLAND.  

...SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS...

DUE TO ALL THE COLD WEATHER AND LIMITED RUNOFF OVER THE PAST FEW 
MONTHS...SOIL MOISTURE STATES HAVE CONTINUED TO DRY OUT ACROSS THE 
REGION. AS A RESULT...NEAR SURFACE SOIL MOISTURE ANOMALY MAPS AS OF 
17 MARCH 2014 SHOWED NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL MOISTURE STATES IN PLACE 
ACROSS JUST ABOUT ALL OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

...TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK...

TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL TODAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL 
TEMPERATURES THROUGH SUNDAY. BEGINNING MONDAY TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE 
AGAIN FALL TO BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL.

LOOKING OUT THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS...AFTER TODAY THERE ARE SOME 
CHANCES FOR MAINLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY 
WHICH SHOULD BE IN THE FORM OF RAIN SHOWERS. THERE WILL BE ANOTHER 
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION WHICH WILL LIKELY FALL AS SNOW ON TUESDAY 
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

THE OFFICIAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK FOR MARCH 
27 TO APRIL 2 CALLS FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL 
PRECIPITATION. 

...SUMMARY...

BASED ON THE INFORMATION AVAILABLE...THE WINTER SPRING FLOOD 
POTENTIAL IS NORMAL ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND IN THE NEAR 
TERM. THE EXCEPTION TO THIS IS SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND THE 
MAIN STEM CONNECTICUT RIVER...WHERE THE LONGER TERM FLOOD THREAT IS 
ABOVE NORMAL LARGELY DUE TO SNOWPACK IN THE HEADWATERS OF THE 
CONNECTICUT RIVER.

RIVER FLOWS ARE NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL AND ANTECEDENT MOISTURE 
CONDITIONS ARE NEAR NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL. THE SNOW PACK FOR MUCH 
OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND IS NEAR NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF 
YEAR...EXCEPT SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE AND THE HEADWATERS OF THE 
CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY WHERE THE SNOWPACK IS DEEPER THAN NORMAL 
WITH AN ABOVE NORMAL WATER CONTENT. 

AFTER TODAY A LARGE PRECIPITATION MAKER IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THE 
THE EARLY PART OF THE NEXT WORK WEEK. THERE IS A GREATER CHANCE FOR 
MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION FROM A SYSTEM DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT 
WEEK.
 
RIVER ICE COVERAGE IS DIMINISHING BUT ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS PORTIONS 
OF INTERIOR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...FROM WESTERN MA AND SOUTHERN NH. 
THE COMBINATION OF INCREASING INCREASING SUN ANGLE AND ABOVE 
FREEZING TEMPERATURES DURING EACH DAY WILL HELP TO DETERIORATE SOME 
OF THE ICE. BUT UNTIL THE ICE SUBSTANTIALLY DIMINISHES OVER THE FAR 
NORTHWEST INTERIOR...THERE IS AN ABOVE NORMAL RISK FOR ICE JAM 
RELATED FLOODING ON SOME RIVERS AND STREAMS ACROSS THE INTERIOR. THE 
GREATEST CHANCE FOR ICE JAM RELATED FLOODING WOULD OCCUR IF THE AREA 
EXPERIENCED A SIGNIFICANT WARMUP CONCURRENT WITH A SIGNIFICANT 
RAINFALL/SNOWMELT EVENT.

KEEP IN MIND THAT HEAVY RAIN CAN CAUSE FLOODING ANY TIME OF THE 
YEAR. THOSE WITH INTERESTS ALONG RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD CHECK THE 
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...WHICH HIGHLIGHTS ANY POTENTIAL FLOOD 
EVENTS OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS. GO TO WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON AND CLICK ON 
THE HAZARDOUS OUTLOOK SECTION ON THE TOP LEFT. 
 
THE NEXT WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED ON 
THURSDAY APRIL 03 2014.

$$

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