Note that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.
000
FGUS73 KLSX 021047
ESFLSX
ILC001-005-009-013-027-051-061-083-117-119-121-133-135-149-157-
163-189-MOC007-019-027-051-055-071-073-093-099-103-111-113-123-
127-135-137-139-151-163-173-179-183-186-187-189-205-219-221-510-
022300-
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
547 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2008
...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...
THE LATEST FORECAST DATA CONTINUE TO SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE BI-STATE REGION FROM
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. A FRONT IS FORECAST TO BECOME
NEARLY STATIONARY OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
LATE TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY MORNING. RICH TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE
REMNANTS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WILL INTERACT WITH THIS FRONT TO
PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE BI-STATE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.
THE COMBINATION OF THIS DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE AND LIFT FROM THE
FRONT IS FAVORABLE FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH HIGH RAINFALL RATES. RUNOFF FROM THIS HEAVY RAINFALL COULD
RESULT IN FLOODING ON CREEKS...STREAMS...AND SMALLER RIVERS.
PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE AREA WITH THE GREATEST THREAT OF
HEAVY RAINFALL WOULD EXTEND FROM SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI THROUGH EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI AND INTO SOUTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS. IT SHOULD BE EMPHASIZED THAT AT THESE TIME RANGES...
THERE REMAINS A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY IN DETAILS OF
A FORECAST. HOWEVER...THERE ARE INCREASINGLY STRONG SIGNALS OF A
POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING EVENT.
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3-5 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.
WHILE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE AREA AS
SOON AS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...IT SHOULD BE EMPHASIZED THAT THE
BEST POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BEGIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS
THE REMNANTS OF GUSTAV ENTER OUR REGION.
INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION AND FORECAST ON THIS
DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.
$$
CARNEY
