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Lawrenceville Weather

Weather for Safford, Arizona

Lat: 32.83N, Lon: 109.7W
Wx Zone: AZZ509 CWA Used: TWC

Arizona Drought Monitor

The Arizona Drought monitor is a subset of the United States Monitor, issued every Thursday morning, based on drought conditions the previous Tuesday. The map below shows the current drought level around the state, and the percent of Arizona land area in each drought level compared to the previous week.

Read an explanation of the drought intensities and what they mean.

Arizona Drought Monitor

Arizona Hydrologic Information Statement

Note that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.

000
FGUS75 KTWC 191751
ESFTWC
AZZ503-507-508-510-512-513-212300-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1050 AM MST TUE JUL 19 2011

...WILDFIRE BURN AREAS INCREASE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AND DEBRIS 
FLOWS...

THE RECENT WILDFIRES ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...INCLUDING THE WALLOW 
FIRE...MONUMENT...HORSESHOE 2...AND MURPHY COMPLEX FIRE...HAVE 
SIGNIFICANTLY CHANGED THE HYDROLOGY IN THESE AREAS. LOCATIONS 
DOWNHILL AND DOWNSTREAM FROM BURNED AREAS ARE NOW MORE SUSCEPTIBLE 
TO FLASH FLOODING. A SHORT PERIOD OF MODERATE RAINFALL ON A BURNED 
WATERSHED CAN LEAD TO FLASH FLOODS. RAINFALL THAT IS NORMALLY 
ABSORBED CAN RUN OFF EXTREMELY QUICKLY AFTER SOILS AND VEGETATION 
HAVE BEEN CHARRED. SEVERELY BURNED SOILS CAN BE AS WATER REPELLENT 
AS PAVEMENT. CONSEQUENTLY...RUNOFF WILL BE GREATER AND MORE RAPID 
THAN PRIOR TO THE FIRE AS WAS EVIDENCED DURING THE FLASH FLOOD IN 
MILLER CANYON ON THE TENTH OF JULY.  FLOOD WATERS CAN PICK UP LARGE 
AMOUNTS OF ASH...SAND...SILT...ROCKS...AND REMNANTS OF VEGETATION. 
THE FORCE OF RUSHING WATER AND DEBRIS CAN DAMAGE OR DESTROY 
CULVERTS...BRIDGES... ROADWAYS...AND BUILDINGS...POTENTIALLY CAUSING 
INJURY OR DEATH.

EACH WILDFIRE BURN AREA POSES ITS OWN UNIQUE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING 
DUE TO MANY FACTORS INCLUDING PROXIMITY TO POPULATION CENTERS...BURN 
SEVERITY...STEEPNESS OF TERRAIN...AND SIZE OF THE BURNED DRAINAGE 
BASINS. SOME OF THE WATERSHEDS POTENTIALLY AFFECTED IN EACH 
INDIVIDUAL BURN AREA ARE INCLUDED BELOW.

FOR THE MONUMENT FIRE BURN AREA IN SOUTHWEST COCHISE COUNTY... 
AFFECTED STREAMBEDS INCLUDE MONTEZUMA CANYON...ASH CANYON...STUMP 
CANYON...HUNTER CANYON...CARR CANYON AND MILLER CANYON.

FOR THE WALLOW FIRE BURN AREA IN NORTHERN GREENLEE AND NORTHEAST 
GRAHAM COUNTIES...AFFECTED STREAMS INCLUDE BEAR WALLOW 
CREEK...BEAVER CREEK AND FISH CREEK...WHICH ALL FLOW INTO THE BLACK 
RIVER. 

FOR THE HORSESHOE 2 FIRE BURN AREA IN SOUTHEAST COCHISE 
COUNTY...AFFECTED WATERSHEDS INCLUDE CAVE CREEK...EAST TURKEY 
CREEK...EAST WHITETAIL CREEK...WEST TURKEY CREEK...PINERY 
CREEK...COTTONWOOD CREEK AND ROCK CREEK.

FOR THE MURPHY COMPLEX FIRE BURN AREA IN SOUTHWEST SANTA CRUZ 
COUNTY...AFFECTED WATERSHEDS INCLUDE PECK CANYON DOWNSTREAM TO RIO 
RICO NORTHWEST AS WELL AS TUBAC CREEK DOWNSTREAM TOWARD TUBAC. 

KEEP IN MIND THAT SUMMER WEATHER IN SOUTHEAST ARIZONA BRINGS A 
POSSIBILITY FOR FLASH FLOODING ALMOST EVERY DAY IN THUNDERSTORMS 
THAT FORM OVER FLOOD PRONE AREAS AND BURNED AREAS. RESIDENTS IN 
FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD HAVE AN EMERGENCY KIT AND A PLAN TO 
EVACUATE AND BE ALERT TO FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOWS. IF YOU ARE IN A 
VEHICLE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOOD WATER. BE AWARE THAT ROADWAYS MAY 
BECOME IMPASSIBLE DUE TO MUD...ROCK...AND DEBRIS SLIDES OR DUE TO 
STREAMS AND WASHES OVERWHELMING EXISTING CULVERTS AND BRIDGES. 

MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION ON NOAA WEATHER RADIO...THE 
INTERNET OR OTHER MEDIA OUTLETS. MAKE PLANS AHEAD OF TIME AS TO WHAT 
SPECIFIC ACTIONS YOU NEED TO TAKE IN THE EVENT OF FLASH FLOODING IN 
YOUR AREA. WHEN FLOODING BEGINS...THE TIME AVAILABLE TO TAKE 
CRITICAL ACTIONS WILL BE SHORT.

WHEN THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ISSUES A FLASH FLOOD WARNING...IT 
MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR IS LIKELY TO OCCUR 
VERY SOON. DO NOT DELAY TAKING PROTECTIVE MEASURES EVEN IF RAINFALL 
IS LIGHT AT YOUR LOCATION. HIGHER GROUND SHOULD BE SOUGHT WHEN A 
FLASH FLOOD IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. HOWEVER IF ROADS ARE BLOCKED 
OR IF IT IS UNSAFE TO EVACUATE DUE TO FLASH FLOODING...HEAVY 
RAIN...OR POOR VISIBILITY THE BEST ACTION MAY BE TO SHELTER IN PLACE 
IN A STURDY STRUCTURE. CALL 911 IF YOU ARE CAUGHT IN A FLASH FLOOD.  
REMEMBER NEVER TO DRIVE THROUGH RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER...YOU MAY BE 
SWEPT AWAY. 

DO NOT WAIT FOR A FLASH FLOOD WARNING TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT 
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE EVENT OF HEAVY RAIN. THUNDERSTORMS THAT 
DEVELOP OVER THE BURN AREA CAN PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING NEARLY AS FAST 
AS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR CAN DETECT THE RAINFALL. FLASH 
FLOODING MAY BEGIN BEFORE A WARNING CAN BE ISSUED.   

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS RELATED TO THE CONTENT OF THIS 
PRODUCT...PLEASE CONTACT

KEN DROZD
WARNING COORDINATION METEOROLOGIST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE - TUCSON
520-670-5161 X 223
KENNETH.DROZD@NOAA.GOV

$$

VISIT WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON FOR OFFICIAL WARNINGS AND FORECASTS.