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Lawrenceville Weather

Weather for Roswell, New Mexico

Lat: 33.37N, Lon: 104.53W
Wx Zone: NMZ538 CWA Used: ABQ

New Mexico Drought Monitor

The New Mexico Drought monitor is a subset of the United States Monitor, issued every Thursday morning, based on drought conditions the previous Tuesday. The map below shows the current drought level around the state, and the percent of New Mexico land area in each drought level compared to the previous week.

Read an explanation of the drought intensities and what they mean.

New Mexico Drought Monitor

New Mexico Hydrologic Information Statement

Note that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.

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FGUS75 KABQ 031451
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NMC001>011-019-021-027-028-031-033-037>049-053>061-312359-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
700 AM MST THU MAR 3 2016

...SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK...
...FLOOD RISK IS BELOW AVERAGE FOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW 
MEXICO...

...EXISTING CONDITIONS...

PRECIPITATION...
LONG-TERM PRECIPITATION OVER THE PAST 90-DAY PERIOD HAS BEEN NEAR 
TO ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS MOST CLIMATE DIVISIONS OF NORTHERN AND 
CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. THE EXCEPTIONS WERE OVER THE WEST CENTRAL AND 
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS THE CENTRAL TO LOWER RIO GRANDE 
VALLEY. MEDIUM AND SHORT-TERM PRECIPITATION OVER THE PAST 30 AND 
60 DAY PERIODS HAS DECREASED SHARPLY IN ALL CLIMATE DIVISIONS AND 
WAS BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL OVER THE PAST 30 TO 45 DAYS. 

SNOWPACK...
THE CURRENT SNOWPACK AS OF MARCH 1ST IN THE NEW MEXICO MOUNTAINS 
RANGES FROM ONLY 29 ERCENT OF THE MEDIAN IN THE SAN FRANCISCO AND
UPPER GILA BASIN...34 PERCENT IN THE ZUNI...BLUEWATER BASIN...TO 89 
PERCENT OF THE MEDIAN IN THE RIO GRANDE RIVER BASIN...93 PERCENT IN 
THE CANADIAN RIVER BASIN...94 PERCENT IN THE SAN JUAN RIVER 
BASIN...100 PERCENT IN THE PECOS RIVER BASIN...TO 126 PERCENT OF 
THE MEDIAN IN THE RIO HONDO RIVER BASIN.

RESERVOIR CONSIDERATIONS...
STORAGE REMAINS WELL BELOW NORMAL AT ALL LAKES AND RESERVOIRS IN NEW 
MEXICO. THE STATEWIDE AVERAGE IS ONLY AROUND 30 PERCENT OF CAPACITY 
AS OF MARCH 1ST.

STREAMFLOW...
RIVER FLOOD CLIMATOLOGY ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO SUPPORTS PEAK 
FLOW CONDITIONS FROM SPRING SNOWMELT IN THE PERIOD FROM MID MAY TO 
EARLY JUNE. LOCATIONS ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO EXPERIENCE TYPICAL 
PEAK FLOW FROM LATE MARCH TO EARLY APRIL. CURRENT STREAMFLOW 
CONDITIONS ARE NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL FOR MANY LOCATIONS. SOME GAGE 
LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO HAVE INDICATED A LITTLE 
RESPONSE TO SPRING SNOWMELT ALREADY FROM THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE 
MOUNTAINS. THIS IS DUE TO THE EXTENDED PERIOD OF DRY AND MUCH WARMER 
THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS THROUGH MOST OF FEBRUARY. 

DROUGHT...
NO SHORT TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS EXIST ACROSS NEW MEXICO. ABNORMALLY 
DRY AREAS HAVE EXPANDED RECENTLY ACROSS WESTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS 
OF THE STATE. 

...OUTLOOKS...

SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK...
THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FOR MARCH 2015  
FAVORS ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR THE ENTIRE STATE...AND 
ESPECIALLY THE NORTHEAST. THE TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR MARCH 2015 
SUGGESTS EQUAL CHANCES OF BELOW...NEAR...OR ABOVE NORMAL 
TEMPERATURES.

LONG-TERM OUTLOOK...
THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FOR 
MARCH...APRIL... MAY 2015 STRONGLY FAVORS ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION 
CHANCES FOR THE ENTIRE STATE. THE TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR 
MARCH...APRIL...MAY 2015 SUGGESTS BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS 
ALL OF NEW MEXICO.

SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK...
BASED ON THE COMBINATION OF CURRENT HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS FROM THE 
WINTER SEASON...ENSEMBLE STREAMFLOW PREDICTION FORECASTS AND 
HISTORICAL RIVER FLOOD CLIMATOLOGY THERE IS A BELOW AVERAGE FLOOD 
RISK FOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...DESPITE THE POTENTIAL 
FOR NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION THIS SPRING. 

HOWEVER...IT SHOULD BE EMPHASIZED THAT THERE IS STILL TIME IN THE 
SNOW ACCUMULATION SEASON FOR CONDITIONS TO CHANGE BEFORE SIGNIFICANT
RUNOFF BEGINS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT RIVER OR STREAM 
FLOODING WOULD INCREASE IN THE EVENT HEAVY SNOWFALL OR RAINFALL WERE 
TO OCCUR IN MOUNTAINOUS REGIONS WHILE SNOW MELT RUNOFF IS PEAKING.

THE ALBUQUERQUE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA IS SERVICED BY THE WEST GULF
RIVER FORECAST CENTER...THE ARKANSAS BASIN RIVER FORECAST 
CENTER...AND THE COLORADO BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER. THESE 
REGIONAL FORECAST CENTERS ISSUE A VARIETY OF PRODUCTS THROUGHOUT 
THE YEAR TO UPDATE THE OUTLOOK FOR WATER RESOURCES. PLEASE VISIT 
THE LINKS BELOW FOR MORE INFORMATION:

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/WGRFC
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/ABRFC
WWW.CBRFC.NOAA.GOV

YOU CAN ALSO FIND ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION AND FORECASTS ON THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB PAGE AT:

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/ABQ

FOR QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS OUTLOOK YOU CAN CONTACT BRIAN
GUYER OR CHUCK JONES...ACTING SERVICE HYDROLOGISTS...AT 505-243-0702 
OR BY EMAIL AT BRIAN.GUYER@NOAA.GOV OR CHARLES.H.JONES@NOAA.GOV.

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GUYER/JONES