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Lawrenceville Weather

Weather for Roswell, New Mexico

Lat: 33.37N, Lon: 104.53W
Wx Zone: NMZ538 CWA Used: ABQ

New Mexico Drought Monitor

The New Mexico Drought monitor is a subset of the United States Monitor, issued every Thursday morning, based on drought conditions the previous Tuesday. The map below shows the current drought level around the state, and the percent of New Mexico land area in each drought level compared to the previous week.

Read an explanation of the drought intensities and what they mean.

New Mexico Drought Monitor

New Mexico Hydrologic Information Statement

Note that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.

000
FGUS75 KABQ 051649
ESFABQ

NMZ501>540-312359-
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
945 AM MST THU MAR 5 2015

...SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK...
...FLOOD RISK IS NEAR TO BELOW AVERAGE FOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW
   MEXICO...
...FLOOD RISK IS BELOW AVERAGE FOR CATRON AND LINCOLN COUNTIES...

...EXISTING CONDITIONS...

PRECIPITATION...
LONG-TERM PRECIPITATION OVER THE PAST 90-DAY PERIOD HAS BEEN NEAR TO
ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS ALL CLIMATE DIVISIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL 
NEW MEXICO. MEDIUM AND SHORT-TERM PRECIPITATION OVER THE PAST 60 AND 
30 DAY PERIODS RESPECTIVELY HAS BEEN ABOVE TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL IN 
ALL CLIMATE DIVISIONS. THE ENTIRE MONTH OF JANUARY AND THE LAST WEEK 
OF FEBRUARY WERE PARTICULARLY BENEFICIAL WITH SIGNIFICANT MOUNTAIN 
SNOW OBSERVED.

PRECIPITATION TOTALS FOR THE WINTER PERIOD HAVE AVERAGED 2 TO 5 
INCHES ACROSS SEVERAL AREAS.

LOCATIONPRECIPITATION (DEC-FEB)

CHAMA4.94
WOLF CANYON4.99
LOS ALAMOS1.46
EAGLE NEST4.22
NAVAJO DAM2.96
GALLUP2.89
ABQ FOOTHILL3.27
MOUNTAINAIR2.25
RUIDOSO1.67
GILA HOT SPRINGS3.47

SNOWPACK...
THE CURRENT SNOWPACK IN THE NORTHERN NEW MEXICO MOUNTAINS RANGES 
FROM NEAR 100 PERCENT OF THE MEDIAN ON THE CANADIAN RIVER BASIN...70
PERCENT ON THE PECOS RIVER BASIN...NEAR 80 PERCENT ON THE RIO GRANDE
BASIN...TO 70 PERCENT OF THE MEDIAN IN THE SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN. 
SNOWPACK IN THE CHUSKA MOUNTAINS IS AROUND 40 PERCENT OF THE 
MEDIAN...NEAR 70 PERCENT IN THE NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS...AND 
ONLY AROUND 20 PERCENT OF THE MEDIAN IN THE UPPER GILA BASIN OF 
CATRON COUNTY.

RESERVOIR CONSIDERATIONS...
STORAGE REMAINS WELL BELOW NORMAL AT NEARLY ALL LAKES AND RESERVOIRS 
IN NEW MEXICO...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW STORAGE AREAS ALONG THE 
PECOS RIVER BASIN. THE STATEWIDE AVERAGE IS JUST 23 PERCENT OF 
CAPACITY AS OF MARCH 1ST.

STREAMFLOW...
RIVER FLOOD CLIMATOLOGY ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO SUPPORTS PEAK 
FLOW CONDITIONS FROM SPRING SNOWMELT IN THE PERIOD FROM MID MAY TO 
EARLY JUNE. LOCATIONS ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO EXPERIENCE TYPICAL 
PEAK FLOW FROM LATE MARCH TO EARLY APRIL. CURRENT STREAMFLOW 
CONDITIONS ARE NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL FOR MANY LOCATIONS. MOST GAGE 
LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN NEW MEXICO HAVE INDICATED LITTLE TO NO 
RESPONSE TO SPRING SNOWMELT AT THIS TIME.

DROUGHT...
LITTLE CHANGE IN THE DROUGHT STATUS HAS BEEN OBSERVED THROUGH THE 
WINTER MONTHS. HOWEVER...ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE PAST 
3 MONTHS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN IMPROVEMENTS TO DROUGHT CONDITIONS 
OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO THROUGH MARCH. THE 
LATEST DROUGHT MONITOR FROM MARCH 3RD INDICATED NEAR 20 PERCENT OF 
NEW MEXICO IN SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT WITH CLOSE TO 68 PERCENT OF 
THE STATE IN MODERATE TO EXTREME CONDITIONS. 

...OUTLOOKS...

SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK...
THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FOR MARCH 2015 
FAVORS ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR THE ENTIRE STATE. THE 
TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR MARCH 2015 SUGGESTS EQUAL CHANCES OF 
BELOW...NEAR...OR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

LONG-TERM OUTLOOK...
THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FOR
MARCH...APRIL...MAY 2015 FAVORS ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION CHANCES 
FOR THE ENTIRE STATE. THE TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR MARCH...APRIL AND
MAY 2015 SUGGESTS EQUAL CHANCES OF BELOW...NEAR...OR ABOVE NORMAL 
TEMPERATURES.

SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK...
BASED ON THE COMBINATION OF CURRENT HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS FROM THE 
WINTER SEASON...ENSEMBLE STREAMFLOW PREDICTION FORECASTS AND 
HISTORICAL RIVER FLOOD CLIMATOLOGY THERE WILL BE A NEAR TO BELOW 
AVERAGE FLOOD RISK FOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO AND A BELOW 
AVERAGE FLOOD RISK FOR SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO DESPITE THE POTENTIAL FOR
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION THIS SPRING.

IT SHOULD BE EMPHASIZED THAT THERE IS STILL TIME IN THE SNOW 
ACCUMULATION SEASON FOR CONDITIONS TO CHANGE BEFORE RUNOFF BEGINS. 
THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT RIVER OR STREAM FLOODING WOULD 
INCREASE IN THE EVENT HEAVY RAINFALL WERE TO OCCUR IN MOUNTAINOUS 
REGIONS WHILE SNOW MELT RUNOFF IS PEAKING.

THE ALBUQUERQUE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA IS SERVICED BY THE WEST 
GULF RIVER FORECAST CENTER...THE ARKANSAS BASIN RIVER FORECAST 
CENTER...AND THE COLORADO BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER. THESE 
REGIONAL FORECAST CENTERS ISSUE A VARIETY OF PRODUCTS THROUGHOUT 
THE YEAR TO UPDATE THE OUTLOOK FOR WATER RESOURCES. PLEASE VISIT 
THE LINKS BELOW FOR MORE INFORMATION:

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/WGRFC
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/ABRFC
WWW.CBRFC.NOAA.GOV

YOU CAN ALSO FIND ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION AND FORECASTS ON 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB PAGE AT:

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/ABQ

FOR QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS OUTLOOK YOU CAN CONTACT BRIAN 
GUYER OR CHUCK JONES...ACTING SERVICE HYDROLOGISTS...AT 505-243-0702 
OR BY EMAIL AT BRIAN.GUYER@NOAA.GOV OR CHARLES.H.JONES@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$

GUYER/JONES