Note that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.
000
FGUS74 KOUN 010946
ESFOUN
OKC063-123-069-095-029-005-013-012200-
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
445 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2008
...HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING STILL POSSIBLE...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING AND MAINSTEM
RIVER FLOODING...WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA BEGINNING LATE TUESDAY AND CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY. THE
REMNANTS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV ARE FORECAST TO MOVE INTO EASTERN TEXAS
BY LATE TUESDAY...AND POSSIBLY LINGER OVER NORTHEASTERN TEXAS AND
SURROUNDING AREAS MUCH OF THE WEEK. CURRENT FORECASTS CALL FOR THE
HEAVIEST RAIN TO FALL OVER ARKANSAS...LOUISIANA...AND FAR NORTHEAST
TEXAS. HOWEVER...WITH SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT LOCATION OF
THE REMNANTS...PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WILL BE CLOSE ENOUGH
TO THE HEAVY RAIN AXIS THAT CLOSE ATTENTION NEEDS TO BE MAINTAINED.
AS GUSTAV MOVES INLAND... DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL SPREAD INTO
THE EASTERN OKLAHOMA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WITH HEAVY
RAIN...ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...ESPECIALLY
LATE TUESDAY THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY. SINCE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE VERY SLOWLY...THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAIN OCCURRING ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA COULD CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT
MOVING ACROSS OKLAHOMA ON TUESDAY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME STATIONARY
CLOSE TO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA ON WEDNESDAY...POSSIBLY ADDING AN
ADDITIONAL FOCUS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL.
THE UNCERTAINTY INVOLVED IN PREDICTING THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF GUSTAV
AFTER IT REACHES EAST TEXAS MAKES IT DIFFICULT TO FORECAST RAINFALL
TOTALS AT THIS TIME. A MORE SOUTHWARD OR EASTWARD TRACK WILL LESSEN
THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT FOR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...WHILE A MORE
NORTHWARD MOVEMENT COULD RESULT IN CONSIDERABLE RAINFALL AMOUNTS
ACROSS A LARGER PART OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
THOSE TRAVELING...OR HAVE INTERESTS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS OF
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SHOULD MONITOR LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS.
$$
PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST FORECAST PRODUCTS FROM THE TROPICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AND HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER
REGARDING SPECIFIC INFORMATION ON HURRICANE GUSTAV AND ITS REMNANTS.
CJS/11
