Note that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.
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NCZ087-096-097-099>101-SCZ017-023-024-032>034-039-046-100900-
WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
356 PM EST TUE MAR 9 2010
...WINTER/SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...
AS WE ENTERED 2010...AREA RAINFALL DURING THE PRECEDING 3 MONTHS
HAD BROUGHT AN END TO THE DROUGHT AND RESULTED IN ANNUAL RAINFALL
TOTALS THAT WERE AROUND NORMAL ALONG THE COAST AND SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL INLAND. SO FAR THIS YEAR...RAINFALL HAS BEEN ABOVE NORMAL
BUT THE LAST FEW WEEKS HAVE SEEN BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL. THIS HAS
GIVEN THE AREA A CHANCE TO DRY OUT A LITTLE AND STREAMFLOW AND
SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE EASTERN CAROLINAS ARE IN
NORMAL RANGES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. UPSTREAM RESERVOIRS ARE STILL
SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMAL LEVELS.
OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS...A STORM SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED
STATES WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THE LIKELY RESULT WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL FOR THE WEEK. THE
EIGHT TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK CALLS FOR NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION WHILE
THE OUTLOOK FOR MARCH CALLS FOR NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL.
THE THREE MONTH OUTLOOK FOR MARCH THROUGH MAY CALLS FOR NEAR
NORMAL RAINFALL. THIS SUGGESTS THAT APRIL AND MAY COULD SEE NORMAL
TO BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL.
IN CONSIDERATION OF THE ABOVE FACTORS...THE OUTLOOK CALLS FOR
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL CHANCES OF RIVER FLOODING THROUGH EARLY
APRIL WITH NORMAL CHANCES OF RIVER FLOODING EXPECTED FOR THE REST
OF APRIL INTO MAY.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED WINTER/SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY
MARCH 19TH.
$$
