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Lawrenceville Weather

Weather for Lima, Ohio

Lat: 40.74N, Lon: 84.11W
Wx Zone: OHZ025 CWA Used: IWX

Ohio Drought Monitor

The Ohio Drought monitor is a subset of the United States Monitor, issued every Thursday morning, based on drought conditions the previous Tuesday. The map below shows the current drought level around the state, and the percent of Ohio land area in each drought level compared to the previous week.

Read an explanation of the drought intensities and what they mean.

Ohio Drought Monitor

Ohio Hydrologic Information Statement

Note that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.

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PROBABILISTIC HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
530 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

...SPRING FLOOD AND WATER RESOURCES OUTLOOK...

HERE IS THE 90 DAY PROBABILISTIC FORECAST FOR LOCATIONS ALONG THE
KANKAKEE RIVER BASIN IN NORTHERN INDIANA AND FOR THE SAINT
JOSEPH RIVER BASIN IN NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHERN MICHIGAN.

IN THE TABLE BELOW THE 95 THROUGH 5 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE
CHANCE THE RIVER COULD RISE TO OR ABOVE THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS IN 
THE NEXT 90 DAYS. FOR EXAMPLE...THE KANKAKEE RIVER AT DAVIS... 
INDIANA HAS A FLOOD STAGE OF 10 FEET. IN THE NEXT 90 DAYS THERE IS A 
10 PERCENT CHANCE THE RIVER WILL RISE TO OR ABOVE 11.2 FEET. ST. 
JOSEPH RIVER AT SOUTH BEND...INDIANA HAS A FLOOD STAGE OF 5.5 FEET.  
IN THE NEXT 90 DAYS THERE IS A 10 PERCENT CHANCE THE RIVER WILL RISE 
TO OR ABOVE 5.9 FEET. 
 
        CHANCE OF EXCEEDING STAGES AT SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
        ...VALID MARCH 9 2015 - JUNE 7 2015... 

KANKAKEE RIVER BASIN 
LOCATION      FS(FT)  95%  90%  75%  50%  25%  10%   5%

KANKAKEE RIVER
DAVIS IN       10.0   9.7  9.8 10.1 10.4 10.7 11.2 11.7 
 
YELLOW RIVER
PLYMOUTH IN    13.0  10.3 10.6 11.2 11.9 12.8 13.8 14.6 
KNOX IN        10.0   8.2  8.3  8.7  9.0  9.6 10.0 10.6

SAINT JOSEPH RIVER BASIN 
LOCATION      FS(FT)  95%  90%  75%  50%  25%  10%   5%      
         
SAINT JOSEPH RIVER MICHIGAN
THREE RVRS MI   7.0   5.4  5.6  5.9  6.4  7.0  7.6  8.4  
MOTTVILLE  MI   8.0   4.8  5.0  5.3  5.7  6.4  7.0  7.7 
ELKHART IN     24.0  20.7 21.0 21.4 21.9 22.8 23.6 24.7 
SOUTH BEND IN   5.5   2.4  2.7  3.2  3.9  4.8  5.9  7.2 
NILES MI       11.0   7.4  7.6  8.3  9.0  9.9 10.8 11.8
           
ELKHART RIVER
GOSHEN IN       7.0   3.8  3.9  4.4  5.1  6.0  7.5  7.9    
     
THIS LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK CONTAINS FORECAST VALUES THAT 
ARE CALCULATED USING MULTIPLE SEASON SCENARIOS FROM 30 OR MORE 
YEARS OF CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA INCLUDING CURRENT CONDITIONS OF THE 
RIVER...SOIL MOISTURE...SNOW MELT AND 30 TO 90 DAY LONG-RANGE 
OUTLOOKS OF TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION. BY PROVIDING THE COMPLETE 
RANGE OF PROBABILITIES...THE LEVEL OF RISK ASSOCIATED WITH LONG 
RANGE PLANNING DECISIONS CAN BE DETERMINED. THESE PROBABILISTIC 
FORECASTS ARE A PART OF NOAA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICES ADVANCED 
HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE. ADDITIONAL SUPPORTIVE DATA AND 
EXPLANATIONS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX...ALL LOWER CASE. AHPS CAN BE FOUND UNDER THE 
HYDROLOGY/RIVERS AND LAKES SECTION.

...SNOW COVER/SOIL CONDITIONS...
SNOW AND ICE STILL COVER ALL OF NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST LOWER 
MICHIGAN. WIDELY VARIABLE SNOW DEPTHS HAVE BEEN REPORTED FROM FIVE 
TO EIGHT INCHES ACROSS THE KANKAKEE AND ELKHART BASINS...AND EIGHT 
TO TWENTY INCHES ACROSS THE ST. JOSEPH BASIN. SNOW DEPTHS INCREASE 
DRAMATICALLY TOWARDS LAKE MICHIGAN DUE TO RECENT LAKE EFFECT 
SNOWS...WITH ISOLATED SNOW DEPTH REPORTS OF TWENTY TO THIRTY INCHES 
ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. SNOW WATER CONTENT WITHIN 
THE SNOW PACK IS GENERALLY ONE TO TWO INCHES...HOWEVER WHERE SNOW 
DEPTHS ARE IN EXCESS OF TEN INCHES...TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF SNOW 
WATER CONTENT IS REPORTED. SOIL CONDITIONS ARE FROZEN ACROSS ALL OF 
THE REGION DOWN TO A DEPTH OF AT LEAST SIX INCHES...WITH MANY AREAS 
REPORTING FROZEN GROUND IN EXCESS OF A FOOT. 

...WEATHER OUTLOOK...
THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK INDICATES THAT 
THERE IS ABOUT A 50 PERCENT CHANCE THAT TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE 
NORMAL VALUES. FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR 
MID MARCH ARE IN THE MID 40S. AVERAGE LOW TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE 
UPPER 20S. THERE IS NO STRONG SIGNAL FOR EITHER ABOVE...NEAR OR 
BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION FOR THIS PERIOD. NORMAL PRECIPITATION 
DURING MID MARCH...IN THE 8 TO 14 DAY PERIOD...IS AROUND 0.30 
INCHES. 

THE MARCH OUTLOOK CALLS FOR MODERATELY INCREASED CHANCES FOR BELOW 
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE...BELOW AND NEAR 
NORMAL PRECIPITATION. 

THE 90 DAY OUTLOOK FOR MARCH THROUGH MAY 2015 INDICATES NO STRONG 
SIGNAL FOR EITHER ABOVE...NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES OR 
PRECIPITATION FOR THIS PERIOD.  

...RIVER CONDITIONS...
AREA RIVERS CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL 
STREAMFLOW. MOST POINTS IN THE ST. JOSEPH AND KANKAKEE RIVER BASINS 
ARE EXPERIENCING STREAMFLOW VALUES IN THE 10TH TO 25TH PERCENTILE. A 
MAJORITY OF THE AREA STREAMS AND WATERWAYS ARE FROZEN OR ONLY 
PARTIALLY OPEN. DEPTH OF RIVER ICE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN LOW 
VELOCITY REGIONS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS COULD LEAD TO SUBSEQUENT 
ICE JAM FLOOD PROBLEMS DUE TO ICE BREAKUP AND POTENTIAL ICE JAM 
FORMATION. THE MOST LIKELY TIMEFRAME FOR ICE JAM FLOOD ISSUES APPEAR 
TO BE IN THE MID MARCH TO EARLY APRIL TIMEFRAME. ICE JAMS WILL CAUSE 
WATER TO PILE UP BEHIND THE JAM AND CAUSE UPSTREAM FLOODING. ICE 
JAMS CAN RELEASE QUICKLY AND ALLOW LARGE QUANTITIES OF WATER TO FLOW 
DOWNSTREAM IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME WHICH CAN CAUSE DOWNSTREAM 
FLOODING. 

...OVERALL FLOOD RISK...
DUE TO INITIAL LOW STREAMFLOW CONDITIONS...NEAR NORMAL SNOW WATER 
CONTENT... VARIED TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS AND NO STRONG SIGNAL FOR 
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION...THE OVERALL RISK FOR FLOODING IS AT OR 
BELOW NORMAL AT THIS TIME. THE RISK FOR SPRING FLOODS WILL BE 
DEPENDENT ON FUTURE PRECIPITATION EVENTS AND POTENTIAL ICE JAM 
FORMATION. 

...FLOOD TERMINOLOGY...
THE TERM MINOR FLOODING IS USED TO INDICATE MINIMAL OR NO PROPERTY
DAMAGE. HOWEVER...SOME PUBLIC INCONVENIENCE IS POSSIBLE.

THE TERM MODERATE FLOODING IS USED TO INDICATE THE INUNDATION OF 
SECONDARY ROADS. TRANSFER TO A HIGHER ELEVATIONS MAY BE NECESSARY 
TO SAVE PROPERTY.

THE TERM MAJOR FLOODING IS USED TO INDICATE EXTENSIVE INUNDATION AND 
PROPERTY DAMAGE USUALLY CHARACTERIZED BY THE EVACUATION OF PEOPLE 
AND LIVESTOCK AND CLOSURE OF BOTH PRIMARY AND SECONDARY ROADS.
 
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