Note that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.
000
FGUS73 KGID 261901
ESFGID
NEC129-NEC175-NEC077-NEC125-NEC163-NEC093-NEC019-051800-
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
201 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2008
...ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK...
THIS LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK CONTAINS FORECAST VALUES THAT
ARE CALCULATED USING MULTIPLE SEASON SCENARIOS FROM 30 OR MORE YEARS
OF CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA INCLUDING CURRENT CONDITIONS OF THE RIVER...
SOIL MOISTURE...AND 30 TO 90 DAY LONG-RANGE OUTLOOKS OF TEMPERATURE
AND PRECIPITATION. BY PROVIDING THE COMPLETE RANGE OF
PROBABILITIES...THE LEVEL OF RISK ASSOCIATED WITH LONG-RANGE PLANNING
DECISIONS CAN BE DETERMINED. THESE PROBABILISTIC FORECASTS ARE PART
OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE`S ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION
SERVICE.
THE VALUES IN THE TABLE BELOW ARE VALID FROM SEP 01 2008 TO NOV 30
2008.
IN THE TABLE BELOW...THE 90 THROUGH 10 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE
CHANCE THAT A LOCATION ON A RIVER COULD RISE ABOVE THE LISTED STAGE
LEVELS IN THE NEXT 90 DAYS. FOR EXAMPLE: THE LITTLE BLUE RIVER NEAR
DEWEESE HAS A FLOOD STAGE OF 10 FEET. THERE IS A 20 PERCENT CHANCE
THAT THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE 7.2 FEET IN THE NEXT 90 DAYS.
ALL STAGES IN FEET
LOCATION FS(FT) 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10%
-------- ------ --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
CEDAR RIVER
FULLERTON 9.0 3.4 3.6 3.8 4.1 4.4 4.6 5.0 5.3 5.7
LITTLE BLUE RIVER
DEWEESE 10.0 2.5 2.5 3.7 4.1 4.9 5.6 6.6 7.2 8.4
LOUP RIVER
GENOA 9.0 4.5 4.5 4.5 5.1 6.0 6.8 7.0 7.3 8.3
MIDDLE LOUP RIVER
SAINT PAUL 8.0 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.5 4.0
MUD CREEK
SWEETWATER 15.0 5.9 5.9 5.9 6.4 7.6 9.3 10.2 11.8 12.6
NORTH LOUP RIVER
SAINT PAUL 5.5 3.2 3.2 3.4 3.5 3.7 3.8 4.0 4.3 4.5
SOUTH LOUP RIVER
RAVENNA 5.0 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.7 4.1 4.8
SAINT MICHAEL 6.5 2.2 2.2 2.3 3.0 3.2 3.7 4.3 4.6 5.6
VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS FOR MORE WEATHER AND
RIVER INFORMATION INCLUDING GRAPHS OF PROBABILISTIC RIVER OUTLOOKS.
$$
