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Lawrenceville Weather

Weather for Jeffersonville, Indiana

Lat: 38.30N, Lon: 85.73W
Wx Zone: INZ092 CWA Used: LMK

Indiana Drought Monitor

The Indiana Drought monitor is a subset of the United States Monitor, issued every Thursday morning, based on drought conditions the previous Tuesday. The map below shows the current drought level around the state, and the percent of Indiana land area in each drought level compared to the previous week.

Read an explanation of the drought intensities and what they mean.

Indiana Drought Monitor

Indiana Hydrologic Information Statement

Note that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.

000
FGUS73 KLMK 061427
ESFLMK
INC019-025-037-043-061-077-117-123-143-175-KYC001-003-005-009-
017-021-027-029-031-045-049-053-057-073-079-085-087-091-093-103-
111-123-137-141-151-155-163-167-169-171-179-181-183-185-209-211-
213-215-217-223-229-239-201200-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
920 AM EST THU MAR 06 2014

...Spring Flood and Water Resources Outlook Number 2...

This outlook covers south central Indiana, central Kentucky, and the
Ohio River from Madison Indiana to Tell City Indiana.

The flood risk in the middle of the Ohio Valley is normal for this
time of year. Minor flooding is expected due to the rain.

This outlook is valid from March 6 through 20 2014.

In Table 1 below, the current (CS) and historical (HS) or normal
probabilities of exceeding minor, moderate, and major flood stages
are listed for the valid time period.

CS values indicate the probability of reaching a flood category
based on current conditions.

HS values indicate the probability of reaching a flood category
based on historical or normal conditions.

When the value of CS is more than HS, the probability of
exceeding that level is higher than normal. When the value of CS is
less than HS, the probability of exceeding that level is lower
than normal.

...Table 1--Probabilities for minor, moderate, and major flooding...
                    Valid Period:  3/10/2014 - 6/8/2014

                                       :    Current and Historical
                                       :     Chances of Exceeding
                                       :       Flood Categories
                                       :      as a Percentage (%)
                      Categorical      :
                   Flood Stages (FT)   :   Minor    Moderate   Major
Location           Minor   Mod   Major :  CS   HS   CS   HS   CS   HS
--------           -----  -----  ----- : ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---
:Ohio River
Clifty Creek       451.0  457.0  470.0 :  10    8   95   11   15   <5   <5
Woodbury            33.0   45.0   48.0 :  58   91   10   13   <5    5
:Rolling Fork River
Boston              35.0   42.0   45.0 :  41   43   18   19    9   11
:Barren River
Bowling Green       28.0   32.0   45.0 :   9   13    6    7   <5   <5
:South Fork Licking River
Cynthiana           20.0   22.0   23.0 :  17   18   13   13   10   11
:Muscatatuck River
Deputy              25.0   28.0   32.0 :  36   34    7    7   <5   <5
:Rough River
Dundee              25.0   28.0   30.0 :  27   32   11   12   <5   <5
:Kentucky River
Frankfort Lock      31.0   35.0   40.0 :  13   14    8    9   <5   <5
Ford Lock           26.0   35.0   40.0 :  17   17   <5   <5   <5   <5
High Bridge Lock    30.0   36.0   39.0 :  17   18    9   10    7    7
:Blue River
Fredericksburg      20.0   24.0   27.0 :  16   15    7    6   <5   <5
:Salt River
Shepherdsville      32.0   35.0   40.0 :   5    5   <5   <5   <5   <5

Legend
CS = Conditional Simulation (Current Outlook)
HS = Historical Simulation
FT = Feet

In Table 2 below, the 95 through 5 percent columns indicate the
probability of exceeding the listed stage levels (FT) for the valid
time period.

...Table 2--Exceedance Probabilities...

                               Chance of Exceeding Stages
                                  at Specific Locations
                          Valid Period: 3/10/2014 - 6/8/2014
Location              95%    90%    75%    50%    25%    10%     5%
--------            ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
:Ohio River
Clifty Creek        432.0  435.2  438.7  443.6  447.7  451.2  453.1
Cannelton Lock       29.5   32.4   36.3   40.8   42.8   44.6   49.1
McAlpine Lower       35.1   39.9   44.5   50.1   55.2   58.2   61.2
McAlpine Upper       13.7   16.1   17.3   20.1   24.2   27.2   30.0
Tell City            28.3   31.2   34.9   40.2   42.3   43.9   47.4
:Licking River
Blue Licks Spring    19.2   19.7   21.3   24.3   29.4   33.5   35.9
:Green River
Brownsville          11.9   12.3   13.6   15.5   18.6   23.3   26.1
Munfordville          9.0   10.6   13.3   18.4   26.6   36.0   45.2
Rochester            12.6   13.2   15.0   18.0   21.6   25.4   26.7
Woodbury             18.2   20.7   28.4   35.4   39.9   45.1   47.2
:Rolling Fork River
Boston               19.5   21.9   26.8   32.4   39.9   45.0   46.3
:Barren River
Bowling Green        10.3   12.1   15.2   19.3   24.0   27.1   34.2
:South Fork Licking River
Cynthiana             8.4    8.9   10.0   12.6   16.8   23.4   24.6
:Muscatatuck River
Deputy               10.2   10.8   13.5   18.7   21.2   23.4   26.5
:Rough River
Dundee               15.3   16.1   19.0   21.6   25.5   28.2   28.9
:Kentucky River
Frankfort Lock       12.0   12.8   14.3   20.1   24.0   33.1   39.3
Ford Lock            16.1   17.2   18.1   19.9   22.5   29.1   33.9
High Bridge Lock     16.9   17.7   18.7   21.9   25.2   34.3   40.6
:Blue River
Fredericksburg        5.0    6.4    8.0   10.7   16.0   23.1   24.6
:Salt River
Shepherdsville        5.4    6.0    7.2    8.8   13.7   26.3   33.1

These long-range probabilistic outlooks contain forecast values that
are calculated using multiple season scenarios from 30 or more years
of climatological data, including current conditions of the
river, soil moisture, snow cover, and 30 to 90 day long-range
outlooks of temperature and precipitation. By providing a range of
probabilities, the level of risk associated with long-range planning
decisions can be determined. These probabilistic forecasts are part
of the National Weather Service's Advanced Hydrologic Prediction
Service (AHPS).

This outlook calls for a normal chance of flooding due to current
conditions of ground moisture, river flows, snow pack, and expected
precipitation over the next two weeks. Minor flooding means minimal
or no property damage, but possibly some public threat or
inconvenience.

Snowmelt and ice jams are usually not a factor for flooding in this
part of the country. There is a small amount of snow on the ground
across the region but it was melting quickly.

For the month of February, precipitation was near normal in Indiana
but one to three inches above in Kentucky. Soil moisture was near
normal in southern Indiana but above normal in Kentucky. Reservoir
levels were above normal. Streamflows were near normal in southern
Indiana and western Kentucky but above normal in central Kentucky.

No significant precipitation is forecast over the next week.

The 8 to 14 day outlook, valid March 13 through 19 calls for
temperatures and precipitation to be below normal. At this time of
year, normal precipitation is around a half inch and normal
temperatures are around 45.

The outlook for March is for normal precipitation. Normal
precipitation is between four and five inches. The seasonal outlook
for March through May calls for above normal precipitation.

This will be the last spring and water resources outlook for this
year.

Additional supportive data and explanations are available for
precipitation and temperatures forecasts and current soil moisture
data at www.cpc.noaa.gov/products. Current snowpack data are
available at www.nohrsc.nws.gov/nsa. Current streamflow data are
available at water.usgs.gov/watchwatch. Visit out home page at
weather.gov/lmk for more weather and water information.

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CMC