Weather for Edge, Texas
Lat: 30.89N, Lon: 96.29W
Wx Zone: TXZ196
CWA Used: HGX
Texas Drought MonitorThe Texas Drought monitor is a subset of the United States Monitor, issued every Thursday morning, based on drought conditions the previous Tuesday. The map below shows the current drought level around the state, and the percent of Texas land area in each drought level compared to the previous week. Read an explanation of the drought intensities and what they mean. |
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Texas Hydrologic Information StatementNote that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.
000
FGUS74 KHGX 161846
ESFHGX
170646-
PROBABILISTIC HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
146 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
...ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE (AHPS) LONG RANGE
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK FOR THE TRINITY RIVER BASIN IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
THE HOUSTON/GALVESTON NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE HAS
IMPLEMENTED ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE (AHPS) FOR THE
TRINITY RIVER BASIN IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS. AHPS ENABLES THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TO PROVIDE LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC
OUTLOOKS. THIS SERVICE IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET.
IN THE TABLE BELOW...THE 90 THROUGH 10 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE
CHANCE THE RIVER COULD RISE ABOVE THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS IN THE
NEXT 90 DAYS. EXAMPLE: THE TRINITY RIVER AT LIBERTY HAS A FLOOD
STAGE OF 26 FEET. THERE IS A 50 PERCENT CHANCE THE LIBERTY
FORECAST POINT WILL RISE ABOVE 14.1 FEET DURING THE NEXT 90 DAYS.
CHANCE OF EXCEEDING STAGES AT SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
VALID [ 5/15/2013 - 8/14/2013 ]
LOCATION FS(FT) 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10%
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TRINITY RIVER
CROCKETT 41.0 9.4 10.0 10.4 10.8 11.6 12.9 13.6 15.4 20.1
BEDIAS CREEK
MADISONVILLE 19.0 8.4 8.4 8.4 9.4 10.6 11.5 12.4 14.9 16.4
TRINITY RIVER
RIVERSIDE 134.0 131.8 131.8 131.8 131.8 131.9 132.1 132.3 132.5 132.8
LONG KING CREEK
LIVINGSTON 19.0 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 8.1 11.0 13.8 19.8
LOWER TRINITY RIVER
GOODRICH 36.0 13.7 13.7 13.7 13.7 13.7 13.7 15.2 18.4 24.9
RYE CREEK
RYE 20.0 10.3 10.3 10.3 10.3 10.3 11.1 12.6 15.5 21.9
ROMAYOR 40.0 16.9 16.9 16.9 16.9 17.0 17.9 19.3 22.3 27.4
LIBERTY 26.0 14.1 14.1 14.1 14.1 14.1 15.0 16.2 20.9 25.9
MOSS BLUFF 15.0 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.7 7.1 9.7 10.0 12.8 16.0
THIS LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK CONTAINS NUMBERS THAT ARE
CALCULATED USING MULTIPLE SCENARIOS FROM 50 YEARS OF HISTORICAL
CLIMATOLOGICAL AND STREAM FLOW DATA. THESE NUMBERS ALSO TAKE
INTO ACCOUNT CURRENT CONDITIONS OF THE RIVER AND SOIL MOISTURE.
BY PROVIDING THE COMPLETE RANGE OF PROBABILISTIC NUMBERS...THE
LEVEL OF RISK ASSOCIATED WITH LONG-RANGE PLANNING DECISIONS CAN
BE DETERMINED.
ADDITIONAL SUPPORTIVE DATA AND EXPLANATION ARE AVAILABLE ON THE
INTERNET AT: WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/CGI-BIN/AHPS.CGI?HGX
(INTERNET ADDRESS IS ALL LOWER CASE).
LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOKS ARE ISSUED AROUND THE THIRD
THURSDAY OF EVERY MONTH.
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