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Lawrenceville Weather

Weather for Cleveland, Ohio

Lat: 41.48N, Lon: 81.68W
Wx Zone: OHZ011 CWA Used: CLE

Ohio Drought Monitor

The Ohio Drought monitor is a subset of the United States Monitor, issued every Thursday morning, based on drought conditions the previous Tuesday. The map below shows the current drought level around the state, and the percent of Ohio land area in each drought level compared to the previous week.

Read an explanation of the drought intensities and what they mean.

Ohio Drought Monitor

Ohio Hydrologic Information Statement

Note that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.

739 
FGUS71 KCLE 162011
ESFCLE
OHC005-007-033-035-043-055-063-075-077-083-085-093-095-099-101-
103-117-123-133-139-143-147-151-153-155-169-173-175-PAC039-049-
182015-

Winter/Spring Flood Potential Outlook
National Weather Service CLEVELAND OH
311 PM EST Thu Feb 16 2017

...BELOW NORMAL FLOOD RISK FOR THE LAKE ERIE AND OHIO RIVER BASINS
THROUGH MARCH 4TH...

This is the fourth flood potential outlook of the 2017 season.  
Flood outlooks will be issued every two weeks into early spring 
to summarize basin conditions and to assess the potential for
flooding. The outlooks are based on current and forecast 
hydrometeorological conditions. This includes snow cover and water 
equivalent, creek and river levels and the amount of ice on them, 
along with the expected conditions during the next two weeks. 
Flooding could occur with water levels having minor impacts even 
with a below normal outlook.

...CURRENT CONDITIONS SUMMARY... 
After a warm January, above normal temperatures were common across
northern Ohio and northwestern Pennsylvania for the first two 
weeks of February. Several record high temperatures were set on 
February 7th as temperatures soared into the upper 50s and 60s. A
recent return to near normal temperatures lead to the return of 
light lake effect snows, however this is projected to end with 
another round of spring like temperatures starting this weekend. 
With the passing of the climatological coldest time of the year 
it is unlikely that the ground will refreeze before spring. These 
conditions plus the lack of notable rain events in the forecast 
leads to a below normal risk of flooding for the next two weeks.

SNOWPACK
In the Snowbelt (NE OH/NW PA)
Snow depths ranged from 2 to 4 inches in northeast Ohio
to 5 to 9 inches in the higher terrain of northwest Pennsyvlania. 
Overall the standing snow water equivalent at the time of this 
issuance ranged from 0.2 to 0.5 inches in the higher terrain of 
the upper French Creek basin, to around a trace to 0.2 inches 
elsewhere. 

Elsewhere Across the Region
Snow depths outside of the snowbelt remain around two inches or
less with a water equivalent less than a 0.10. 

GROUND CONDITIONS
Soil temperatures (2 below top soil) were below freezing in the 
snowbelt, however 4 depth soil temperatures were above freezing. 
Soil temperatures remained above freezing at the 2 and 4 
depths outside of the snowbelt. The removal of snowpack this 
weekend combined with higher sun angles will support a warming of 
the ground cover over the next two weeks. Soil moisture is 
saturated and unlikely to absorb much if any runoff should a rain 
event occur over the next two weeks. Lake ice was last reported 
around 6 percent, with no reports of river ice. 

Streamflows are elevated with most reporting around the 50th 
percentile. Reservoirs, which had risen over the last month, have 
been gradually releasing flows to return to near normal winter pool
levels. There remains a high percentage of flood storage 
available.

...TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK... 
The rainfall over the last 30 days has been 200-250% of normal for
the region (Jan 16-Feb16) with temperatures 5-10 F above normal. 
The 7 day forecast calls for below normal precipitation, and well 
above normal temperatures. A potential storm system around the 
25th of February looks to have the best potential for heavy
rainfall, yet probability is low at this time. Temperatures are 
expected to drop back to near seasonable normals behind this storm 
system for the end of the month. Outlooks going into March favor 
above normal temperatures and near normal precipitation. 

...FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK... 
Flood risk during the next two weeks is below normal for region. 
The pattern favors a melting of the entire snowpack, which will 
elevate streams and creeks in the snowbelt which is not sufficient 
to produce flooding. Elsewhere, current river levels are near 
normal and will continue to gradually subside over the next week. 
Ahead of the next weather system there wont be a snowpack or 
frozen soil, however ground conditions will be saturated.
Conditions overall favor a below normal chance for flooding 
through the beginning of March.  

...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...
Real time river information and probabilistic forecast for specific
locations along rivers across the region can be found on the 
internet at www.weather.gov/cle. Since conditions can change, 
please refer to the latest flood watches, warnings, and statements 
for additional information.

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