Weather for Chandler, Arizona
Lat: 33.30N, Lon: 111.87W
Wx Zone: AZZ023
CWA Used: PSR
Arizona Drought MonitorThe Arizona Drought monitor is a subset of the United States Monitor, issued every Thursday morning, based on drought conditions the previous Tuesday. The map below shows the current drought level around the state, and the percent of Arizona land area in each drought level compared to the previous week. Read an explanation of the drought intensities and what they mean. |
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Arizona Hydrologic Information StatementNote that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.
000
FGUS75 KPSR 052028
ESFPSR
AZZALL-051200-
WATER SUPPLY OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
124 PM MST TUE MAR 5 2013
...FLOOD RISK IS BELOW NORMAL FOR ALL OF ARIZONA...
THE FLOOD POTENTIAL FOR ARIZONA RIVERS AND STREAMS IS LOW AT THIS
TIME DUE TO A DECREASE IN SNOW PACK TO BELOW NORMAL LEVELS AND DUE
TO THE LOW PROBABILITY OF A SIGNIFICANT RAIN EVENT DURING WHAT IS
NORMALLY A DRY PORTION OF THE YEAR.
SNOWMELT ALONE RARELY RESULTS IN FLOODING WITHIN THE STATE.
BELOW NORMAL SNOWPACK...BELOW MEDIAN STREAMFLOW...BELOW AVERAGE
SEASONAL PRECIPITATION...AND A CLIMATE FORECAST CALLING FOR
CONTINUED WARM AND DRY WEATHER ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES
ALL POINT TOWARD A BELOW NORMAL LIKELIHOOD OF SPRING FLOODING.
SNOWPACK CONDITIONS AS OF MARCH 1ST WERE BELOW AVERAGE
THROUGHOUT ARIZONA.
GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF ENSO NEUTRAL CLIMATE CONDITIONS...THERE IS AN
EQUAL CHANCE FOR ABOVE AND BELOW AVERAGE RAINFALL THRU THE SPRING MONTHS.
THE LATEST CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER FORECASTS SUGGEST THOUGH THAT WARMER
AND DRIER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST. IF THESE FORECASTS VERIFY...
THERE WILL LIKELY BE A REDUCTION IN RUNOFF RESPONSE DUE TO SNOWMELT AND
RAINFALL.
STREAMFLOW RATES AT THE END OF FEBRUARY WERE BELOW MEDIAN ACROSS
MOST OF ARIZONA.
MODELED SOIL MOISTURE STATES REMAIN MUCH BELOW AVERAGE IN THE GILA AND
LITTLE COLORADO BASINS. HOWEVER...SOIL MOISTURE STATES HAVE IMPROVED IN THE
SALT-VERDE BASINS FROM THE LATE JANUARY STORM.
HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
SEASONAL PRECIPITATION TO DATE...
BELOW NORMAL
CURRENT RESERVOIR STORAGE...
BELOW TO NEAR NORMAL
MONTHLY RUNOFF FORECAST...
MUCH BELOW NORMAL
THREE MONTH PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK...
BELOW NORMAL
PRECIPITATION SUMMARY...
2013 WATER YEAR (OCTOBER 2012 THRU FEBRUARY 2013)
BASIN / REGION SEASONAL PRECIP
PERCENT OF AVERAGE
UPPER GILA 60
SALT 85
VERDE 93
LITTLE COLORADO 97
PRECIPITATION FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE STATE...
OCT 1 2012 THRU FEB 28 2013...
STATION CURRENT AVERAGE
COOLIDGE 3.60 4.35
DOUGLAS 1.50 3.94
FLAGSTAFF 7.63 9.50
GILA BEND .99 3.41
JEROME 10.62 7.59
MCNARY 7.02 11.01
MIAMI 6.88 8.71
PAGE 2.10 3.07
PAYSON 9.85 9.80
PHOENIX 2.62 3.94
SAFFORD 1.34 3.79
TUCSON 2.81 4.19
WILLCOX 1.64 5.14
WINSLOW 2.18 2.58
SNOW PACK SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT...
AS REPORTED MARCH 1 2013 BY NRCS
BASIN / REGION PERCENT OF
MEDIAN
SALT RIVER 85
VERDE RIVER 88
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER 93
SAN FRANCISCO - UPPER GILA RIVER 70
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS 117
CENTRAL MOGOLLON RIM 93
GRAND CANYON 81
SAN FRANCISCO PEAKS 91
STATEWIDE 94
SOIL CONDITIONS...
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER ANALYSIS FOR ARIZONA SHOWS SOIL MOISTURE
LEVELS AT THE END OF FEBRUARY WERE BELOW NORMAL ACROSS MOST OF THE
STATE.
RESERVOIRS...
AS OF MARCH 5 2013 UNLESS OTHERWISE INDICATED
RESERVOIR/SYSTEM PERCENT VOLUME IN
FULL ACRE-FT
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER
LYMAN LAKE 15 4510
COLORADO RIVER
LAKE POWELL 49 11858000 MAR 4
LAKE MEAD 53 13801000 MAR 4
LAKE MOHAVE 91 1646000 MAR 4
LAKE HAVASU 94 583900 MAR 4
BILL WILLIAMS RIVER
ALAMO LAKE 8 77935
SALT RIVER
SALT SYSTEM 55 1119707
VERDE RIVER
VERDE SYSTEM 67 191698
AGUA FRIA RIVER
LAKE PLEASANT 76 656730
GILA RIVER
SAN CARLOS 1 11060
PAINTED ROCK M M
CURRENT RIVER AND STREAM CONDITIONS...
AS OF MARCH 1 2013
STREAMFLOWS ALL ACROSS THE STATE ARE CURRENTLY BELOW LONG-TERM
MEDIAN FLOWS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
RIVER BASIN PERCENT OF LONG-TERM MEDIAN
GILA 39
SALT 46
VERDE 84
LITTLE COLORADO 50
SPECIFIC SNOWMELT PEAK FLOW FORECASTS...
PERIOD MP MP% RMAX RMIN AVG
------ -- --- ---- ---- ---
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER
LYMAN LK, ABV, ST. JOHNS, NR MAR-JUN 1.63 27 2.7 1.05 6.0
ZUNI RIVER
BLACK ROCK RES, ABV MAR-MAY 0.03 13 0.13 0.00 0.23
CHEVELON CK
WINSLOW, NR, WILDCAT CYN, BLO MAR-MAY 3.3 24 10.5 0.91 13.9
GILA RIVER
GILA, NR MAR-MAY 15.0 44 21 11.5 34
VIRDEN, NR, BLUE CK, BLO MAR-MAY 16.5 38 29 12.3 43
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER
GLENWOOD, NR MAR-MAY 5.0 33 11.7 3.9 15.2
CLIFTON MAR-MAY 11.5 30 26 7.1 38
GILA RIVER
SOLOMAN, NR, HEAD OF SAFFORD V MAR-MAY 32 36 60 22 89
SAN CARLOS RES, COOLIDGE DAM, MAR-MAY 9.5 18 38 4.6 53
SALT RIVER
ROOSEVELT, NR MAR-MAY 80 33 120 43 240
ROOSEVELT, NR, GUN CK, ABV MAR-MAY 6.9 31 36 2.6 22
VERDE RIVER
BLO TANGLE CK, ABV HORSEHOE DA MAR-MAY 55 51 120 30 107
MP MOST PROBABLE VOLUME IN 1000 ACRE-FEET.
MP% MOST PROBABLE VOLUME IN PERCENT OF THE 1981-2010 AVERAGE.
RMAX VOLUME THAT HAS A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF BEING EXCEEDED.
RMIN VOLUME THAT HAS A 90 PERCENT CHANCE OF BEING EXCEEDED.
AVG AVERAGE VOLUME FOR THE 1981-2010 PERIOD.
ALL FORECAST VOLUMES REFLECT NATURAL FLOW. ACTUAL OBSERVED FLOW MAY
BE AFFECTED BY UPSTREAM WATER MANAGEMENT.
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FOR ADDITIONAL FORECAST INFORMATION INCLUDING MORE DETAILED FORECAST
INFORMATION...BASIN CONDITION GRAPHICS...AND FORECAST EVOLUTION
INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE CBRFC ONLINE WATER SUPPLY
PUBLICATION AT:
WWW.CBRFC.NOAA.GOV/WSUP/PUB2/MAP/HTML/CPUB.PHP
NWS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...
LONG RANGE WEATHER FOR MARCH...APRIL...MAY...
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES STATEWIDE
BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION STATEWIDE
$$
CORRECTED PARAGRAPH FORMATTING
MCLANE
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