Note that if drought conditions are not being experienced, or in the case of river flooding or heavy rain, this statement may be used to indicate river flows or flood potential.
000
FGUS71 KALY 182224
ESFALY
NYZ033>034-037>038-040>043-047>050-052>054-058>061-063-066-MAZ001-
MAZ025-CTZ001-013-VTZ013-014-015-191600
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
620 PM EST FRI APR 18 2008
...WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK NUMBER 8 FOR EASTERN NEW
YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND...
THIS IS THE EIGHTH OF A SERIES OF HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOKS ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EVERY TWO WEEKS...WHICH REFERS TO THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ACROSS EASTERN NEW YORK STATE...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...BERKSHIRE COUNTY MASSACHUSETTS...AND LITCHFIELD COUNTY
CONNECTICUT. THE MAJOR RIVER BASINS IN THIS AREA ARE THE
HUDSON...THE MOHAWK...AND THE HOUSATONIC.
THIS OUTLOOK IS VALID FOR THE TWO-WEEK PERIOD APRIL 18TH TO MAY 2ND
2008.
POTENTIAL...THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING FOR SPRING OF 2008 IS ABOVE
NORMAL ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS...INCLUDING THE UPPER HUDSON RIVER
BASIN...THE MOOSE AND BEAVER RIVERS IN NORTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY...
AND THE EAST AND WEST CANADA CREEKS WHICH FLOW SOUTH FROM THE
ADIRONDACKS INTO THE MOHAWK RIVER. FLOODING IS PRESENTLY TAKING
PLACE ON THE SCHROON RIVER AND ON THE HUDSON RIVER BETWEEN GLENS
FALLS AND WHERE IT IS JOINED BY THE MOHAWK RIVER. THE POTENTIAL
IS NEAR NORMAL FOR UPPER MOHAWK RIVER BASIN AND SOUTHERN VERMONT...
AND SOMEWHAT BELOW NORMAL FOR THE REST OF THE ALBANY HYDROLOGIC
SERVICE AREA.
SNOW PACK CONDITIONS...GROUND FROST...AND RUNOFF POTENTIAL...A DEEP
SNOW PACK ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS AND THE TUG HILL PLATEAU AND OVER
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHERN VERMONT WAS MELTING RATHER RAPIDLY
THIS AFTERNOON IN STRONG SPRING SUNSHINE WITH MID AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES MOSTLY IN THE 70S. THERE ARE LIKELY A FEW PATCHES
OF SNOW OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE CATSKILLS AND BERKSHIRES
ESPECIALLY ON NORTH FACING SLOPES AND UNDER A HEAVY CANOPY OF
EVERGREENS. ELSEWHERE THE GROUND HAS BEEN BARE FOR A WEEK OR
LONGER. THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE OR NO RAIN OVER THE REGION FOR THE
PAST SEVEN DAYS...SO THE GROUND HAS BECOME FAIRLY DRY EXCEPT
WHERE THERE WAS SNOW TO MELT.
RIVER FLOWS AND ICE CONDITIONS...FLOWS IN RIVERS IN THE ADIRONDACK
REGION ARE ABOVE NORMAL DUE TO RAPIDLY MELTING SNOW ALONG WITH THE
RAIN THAT FELL LAST WEEK. OVER THE REST OF THE AREA...DRY WEATHER
WITH NO MELTING SNOW HAS ALLOWED FLOWS TO RECEDE SIGNIFICANTLY
AND MANY OF THE RIVERS IN THE CATSKILLS AND BERKSHIRES ARE BELOW
NORMAL FOR MID APRIL. ICE IN THE RIVERS HAS MELTED.
RESERVOIR AND LAKE LEVELS...RESERVOIR LEVELS ARE ABOVE NORMAL FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR. MOST OF THE REGION/S RESERVOIRS ARE FULL AND
SPILLING OVER INCLUDING DELTA...HINCKLEY...ASHOKAN...AND THE
GREAT SACANDAGA LAKE. THE LEVEL OF SCHOHARIE RESERVOIR WAS JUST
BELOW THE NOTCH AS THE INFLOW HAS RECEDED. BALL MOUNTAIN LAKE IN
SOUTHERN VERMONT...OPERATED FOR FLOOD CONTROL...STILL HAS A
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF STORAGE AVAILABLE.
TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION...TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN MUCH ABOVE
NORMAL TODAY AND YESTERDAY. THIS TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S TO NEAR 70 FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND
LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
FOR THE MONTH OF MAY...TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION ARE
FORECAST TO AVERAGE NEAR NORMAL.
THIS WILL BE THE LAST WINTER/SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR THE 2008
SPRING SEASON.
EXTENDED HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION WILL BE INCLUDED IN THE HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK WHEN APPROPRIATE.
OBSERVED AND FORECAST RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT OUR WEB PAGE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
&&
$$
RCK
