000
FXUS64 KTSA 130808
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
308 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2008
.DISCUSSION...
A POTENT UPPER LOW IS CURRENTLY MOVING RAPIDLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS... WITH A LONG-WAVE TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTH-WESTWARD INTO THE
FOUR-CORNERS REGION. A SECONDARY LOW CENTER IS PROGGED TO FORM IN
THAT GENERAL AREA LATER TODAY... THEN RAPIDLY FILL AS IT EJECTS OUT INTO
THE CENTRAL PLAINS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. A SLOW MOVING COLD
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LARGE-SCALE SYSTEM IS STILL EXPECTED TO
MAKE ITS WAY SOUTHWARD... ENTERING THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT.
THE FRONT WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR INCREASED PRECIPITATION CHANCES. WITH
UPPER SUPPORT QUICKLY MOVING AWAY... THE FRONT WILL BE IN NO
PARTICULAR HURRY TO EXIT THE REGION. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF HIGH POPS... GENERALLY TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY. WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES CURRENTLY OVER ONE INCH
AND PROGGED TO INCREASE... SOME AREAS COULD EXPERIENCE HEAVY
RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS... PARTICULARLY NORTHWEST OF
INTERSTATE 44.
DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO THE REGION BY THE END OF THE
WEEK... LASTING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL 79 62 73 55 / 10 50 50 30
FSM 78 62 78 61 / 0 10 30 20
MLC 81 63 79 60 / 0 40 30 20
BVO 78 60 70 51 / 20 60 60 40
FYV 74 60 75 56 / 0 20 30 20
BYV 74 59 74 58 / 0 10 30 30
MKO 77 62 76 57 / 0 40 40 30
MIO 77 61 76 55 / 0 40 40 40
F10 78 63 76 55 / 0 50 40 30
HHW 81 64 78 66 / 0 20 20 20
&&
.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....06
