000
FXUS64 KOUN 131955
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
255 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2008
.DISCUSSION...
SFC FRONT CONT TO PUSH EAST THIS AFTN WITH VERY SLOW EASTWARD
PROGRESSION OF PRECIP. THIS TREND TO CONT INTO THIS EVENING BEFORE
DEVELOPMENT OF LLJ AND WAA AID IN MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIP ACROSS MUCH
OF CENTRAL INTO WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE CWA. BETTER MID LEVEL
FORCING THEN BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE AREA ON TUE INTO TUE NIGHT AS
UPPER LOW OVER THE SOUTHWEST BEGINS TO SHIFT SLOWLY EAST TOWARD THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. AS THIS OCCURS FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS
SE OK AND THEN RETREAT TO THE NW SOME DURING THE DAY TOMORROW INTO
TUE NIGHT. FRONT WILL AGAIN MOVE SE WED AS UPPER WAVE EJECTS NE.
PRECIP SHOULD COME TO AN END ACROSS MOST AREAS WED AFTN... BUT WILL
LEAVE SOME LOW POPS IN THE SE INTO EARLY THU AS MOISTURE CONT TO
RIDE UP AND OVER THE SFC BOUNDARY ACROSS THE ARKLATEX REGION. SOME
AREAS COULD STILL RECEIVE 2 TO 3 INCHES THROUGH WED... ESPECIALLY
ACROSS WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA.
BY FRI... A QUICK MOVING WAVE SLIDE SE THROUGH THE MID-MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY AS RIDGING DEVELOPS ACROSS WESTERN US. THIS WILL LEAVE PLAIN
STATES IN NW FLOW... WHICH WILL BRING A DRIER AIRMASS INTO THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS FOR THIS WEEKEND... WITH SEASONAL TEMPS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 51 64 51 63 / 90 60 40 40
HOBART OK 48 58 50 65 / 90 80 40 50
WICHITA FALLS TX 54 72 56 65 / 90 50 30 40
GAGE OK 45 54 42 60 / 80 100 70 40
PONCA CITY OK 50 57 47 62 / 90 60 60 50
DURANT OK 67 79 63 71 / 40 20 20 40
&&
.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&
$$
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