000
FXUS63 KICT 201736
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1136 AM CST THU NOV 20 2008
.UPDATE...
UPDATED FOR 18Z TAFS.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
SEE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION.
&&
.AVIATION...
VFR CONDS EXPECTED THRU THE PERIOD FOR ALL TAF SITES. CAA AND PRES
RISES CONT THIS MRNG ACRS THE TERMINALS LEADING TO GUSTY NRLY WINDS.
THIS SHLD CONT THRU THE AFTN BEFORE DECOUPLING QUICKLY THIS EVNG AS
THE SFC HI PRES SETTLES IN. LO TO MID LVL FRONTOGENESIS IS LEADING
TO A SCT LO DECK AND BKN MID LVL DECK THIS MRNG AND THIS SHLD CONT
INTO THE AFTN BEFORE CLDS SHIFT TO THE S AND THEN ONLY CI IS
EXPECTED THRU 18Z FRI. AS SFC HI SHIFTS EWD ON FRI MRNG...LO LVL
FLOW SHLD TURN MORE SRLY AT ALL SITES.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 AM CST THU NOV 20 2008/
DISCUSSION...
FORECAST CHALLENGES...HOW CHILLY THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
LARGE CANADIAN SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE SOUTHWARD
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TODAY...WITH CENTER OF THE HIGH
DRIFTING ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS TONIGHT/EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
EVEN THE RETURN SOUTHERLY FLOW ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL TEND TO RECYCLE THE CANADIAN AIR NORTH ON
FRIDAY. THE NAM/GFS MODEL PROGS OF LOW LEVEL THICKNESS AND
POINT SOUNDINGS SUPPORT MAXS A BIT COOLER THAN THE MAV MOS
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. A BAND OF ALTOSTRATUS CEILINGS
WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE MID LEVEL BAROCLINIC
ZONE INTO MIDDAY...AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROF DROPPING SOUTH
ACROSS THE MIDWEST. THE TRANSIENT LIFT AND ASSOCIATED CLOUDS
WILL MOVE SOUTH AND AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA TODAY...WITH
GRADUAL CLEARING IN ITS WAKE TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR
THE COLDEST MINS OF THE SEASON SO FAR...CLOSE TO THE GOING
FORECAST.
LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE AHEAD OF THE UPPER
SHORTWAVE TROF PASSING OFF TO OUR NORTH AND EAST ON FRIDAY
NIGHT/SATURDAY. MILDER TEMPERATURES WITH MAXS CLIMBING TO
NEAR CLIMO EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY.
LITTLE IF ANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST BEYOND SUNDAY.
DARMOFAL
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT 45 23 43 27 / 10 0 0 0
HUTCHINSON 44 20 44 26 / 10 0 0 0
NEWTON 43 22 42 27 / 10 0 0 0
ELDORADO 44 21 42 27 / 0 0 0 0
WINFIELD-KWLD 47 23 44 27 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELL 42 22 45 25 / 10 10 10 0
GREAT BEND 43 22 45 25 / 10 10 0 0
SALINA 43 22 44 26 / 10 0 0 0
MCPHERSON 43 22 44 26 / 10 0 0 0
COFFEYVILLE 47 22 43 27 / 0 0 0 0
CHANUTE 44 21 42 26 / 0 0 0 0
IOLA 43 21 42 27 / 0 0 0 0
PARSONS-KPPF 45 22 43 26 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
BOUSTEAD
