000
FXUS62 KMLB 201433
AFDMLB
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
932 AM EST THU NOV 20 2008
.DISCUSSION...
...FIRE SENSITIVE DAY ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY...
TODAY...VERY COOL START TO THE MORNING IN CENTRAL FLORIDA. BOTH
MELBOURNE INTERNATIONAL AND ORLANDO INTERNATIONAL AIRPORTS TIED
RECORD LOWS THIS MORNING:
KMLB: 40/1968
KMCO: 39/1968
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RECOVER INTO THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S
THIS AFTERNOON. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS
MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE SOUTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. SKIES WILL BE SUNNY AND CONDITIONS WILL
REMAIN DRY. LIGHT MORNING WINDS WILL BECOME WEST/NORTHWEST AND
INCREASE TO BETWEEN 5 AND 10 MPH.
TONIGHT...ANOTHER REINFORCING COOL FRONT WILL TO SLIDE SOUTHWARD
OVER THE SOUTHEAST & GULF COAST STATES ENDING UP OVER NORTH-CENTRAL
FLORIDA BY EARLY FRI MORNING. SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO BE MOSTLY CLEAR
WITH LIGHT WEST/NORTHWEST FLOW. LOWS WILL BE A BIT WARMER THAN
RECENT NIGHTS...IN THE 40S.
&&
.AVIATION...SKC/VFR. W-NW WIND 5-10 KT.
&&
.MARINE...TODAY/TONIGHT...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING WILL SLIDE SOUTHWARD
ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS DURING THE DAY. THE WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS
SHOULD CONTINUE TO RELAX LATE THIS MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON
FALLING FROM AROUND 15 KTS OFFSHORE TO AROUND 10-12 KTS. THIS EVENING
THE GRADIENT WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY IN RESPONSE TO HIGH PRESSURE TO
THE SOUTH AND AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT TO THE NORTH WITH SPEEDS
12-15 KTS. SEAS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH THE DAY SO ANTICIPATE
ON ALLOWING SCA FOR SEAS OFFSHORE TWO SOUTHERN LEGS TO DIE OUT. WILL
LIKELY CARRY CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS FOR 4-6 FT SEAS OFFSHORE. NOT
EXACTLY BEACH WEATHER...BUT AN ELEVATED RIP CURRENT RISK WILL EXIST
AT AREA BEACHES TODAY DUE TO AN INCREASING NORTHEAST LONG PERIOD
SWELL.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...(PREVIOUS DISCUSSION)...12KM NAM CONTINUES TO
ADVERTISE MUCH LOWER DWPTS THAN THE GFS MOS WOULD SUGGEST WITH SOME
VERY DRY AIR IN THE H9-H8 LYR. WITH NW-W WINDS TODAY AT 5-10 KNOTS
AND WARMER TEMPS THAN YDAY SHOULD SEE LONG DURATION OF LOW RH FOR
THE INTERIOR AND INLAND SECTIONS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES DOWN TO
INDIAN RIVER AND ST. LUCIE...AND INLAND SECTIONS OF MARTIN COUNTY.
FRIDAY...NEAR CRITICAL RH POSSIBLE BEHIND THE FRONT BUT WILL HOLD
OFF ON ANY ISSUANCES DUE TO QUESTIONABLE TIME DURATION CRITERIA
BEING MET.
&&
.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-INLAND
MARTIN.
AM...NONE.
&&
$$
SEDLOCK/GLITTO
