000
FXUS64 KMEG 172026
AFDMEG
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
326 PM CDT SAT MAY 17 2008
.DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHERN
INDIANA WILL SLIDE SOUTH INTO THE MIDSOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. A NARROW
BAND OF SHOWERS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT. SOME OF THE SHOWERS
MAY MOVE INTO NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA AFTER MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER
THEY ARE EXPECTED TO BE VERY ISOLATED IN NATURE. WILL GO WITH
BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WORDING FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF CWA WHILE
THE SOUTHERN HALF WILL STAY MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS WILL
BE IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
FRONT WILL CONTINUE PUSHING SOUTH ON SUNDAY. SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP AS SFC HEATING BEGINS ALONG FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. EXPECT HIGHS TO BE SIMILAR TO TODAY ALTHOUGH UNDER PARTLY
CLOUDY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS.
BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY...FRONT WILL LIFT BACK NORTH
AS A WARM FRONT. MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
PRECIP AS THE FRONT PUSHES NORTH. HOWEVER WILL CONTINUE WITH A 20
POP FOR NOW. LOWS WILL BE IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S SUNDAY NIGHT.
HIGHS WILL BE MUCH WARMER ON MONDAY DUE TO SOUTHERLY WINDS BEHIND
WARM FRONT. EXPECT READINGS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S.
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...FRONT SLIDES BACK SOUTH AS A COLD FRONT
AND EVENTUALLY STALLS OVER THE REGION. MODELS CONTINUE TO DIFFER ON WHERE
THE FRONT WILL STALL AND IF ANY RAIN WILL OCCUR WITH FRONT. WILL PUT
IN A 20 POP FOR TUESDAY AS EXPECT SOME SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS TO
DEVELOP DUE TO SFC HEATING IN VICINITY OF FRONT.
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...FRONT MEANDERS OVER REGION BUT WILL
LIKELY BE LOCATED SOUTH OF CWA. WILL KEEP FORECAST DRY WITH HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S AND LOWS IN THE 50S.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...FRONT LIFTS BACK NORTH AS WARM FRONT
AS UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD OVER REGION. AGAIN...SOME SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT AND JUST DUE TO SFC
HEATING UNDERNEATH RIDGE. WILL CONTINUE WITH SMALL POPS. LOWS WILL
BE IN THE 50S AND 60S WITH HIGHS ON THURSDAY REACHING INTO THE MID
TO UPPER 80S.
FRIDAY THROUGH END OF FORECAST PERIOD...UPPER RIDGE STRENGTHENS OVER
CWA. DIURNAL CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING AFTERNOON HOURS.
LOWS WILL BE IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S WITH HIGHS NEAR 90.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM 62 79 60 87 / 10 20 0 10
MKL 59 77 50 83 / 20 20 0 20
JBR 60 78 55 85 / 20 10 0 10
TUP 55 80 58 85 / 10 20 10 10
&&
.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&
$$
KRM
