000
FXUS64 KHGX 200412
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1112 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013
.DISCUSSION...
SEE AVIATION FOR 06Z TAF ISSUANCE
&&
.AVIATION...
NO MAJOR CHANGES TO PREVIOUS TAF REASONING. ASIDE FROM A FEW
PATCHES OF FOG AROUND SUNRISE AT THE USUAL LOCATIONS (CXO AND
LBX) EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL NEXT 24 HOURS. 38
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 936 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013/
UPDATE...
EVENING FORECAST UPDATE.
DISCUSSION...
FINAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS COME TO AN END OVER NW HARRIS
COUNTY. STORMS TODAY DID DUMP HEAVY RAINFALL FOR AN HOUR OR TWO
WITH PULSE BEHAVIORS. HOUSTON IAH PICKED UP NEARLY AN INCH OF
RAIN IN AN HOUR THIS EVENING. SOME OTHER HCFCD GAUGES SHOWED 1-2
INCH AMOUNTS IN ISOLATED AREAS. NEARLY 1.5 INCHES WAS REPORTED
NEAR JOHNSON SPACE CENTER. MAIN CHANGE TO THE FORECAST WAS TO
REMOVE POPS FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT. OTHERWISE THE FORECAST
LOOKS ON TRACK WITH MAX TEMPS IN THE MID 90S AND SLIGHT
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES DUE TO HIGHER MOISTURE LEVELS WITH LIFT FROM
THE SEA BREEZE EACH AFTERNOON. CONVECTIVE CHANCES LOOK TO FIGHT
SUBSIDENCE FROM UPPER LEVEL RIDGING SO POSSIBLE THAT RAIN CHANCES
WILL BE LESS THAN 20 PERCENT IN SOME CASES. UPDATED FORECAST WILL
BE ISSUED SHORTLY.
39
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 618 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013/
DISCUSSION...
SEE AVIATION FOR 00Z TAF DISCUSSION
AVIATION...
ISOLATED CONVECTION CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING THUS
WILL KEEP VCTS MENTION IN FOR A FEW SITES OVER THE FIRST HOUR OR
SO OF THE TAF PERIOD. ONLY CONCERN THIS EVENING IS MCS JUST TO THE
SOUTH OF THE DFW METROPLEX THAT CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD.
IF THIS WERE TO HOLD TOGETHER IT COULD IMPACT UTS AND CLL BY AS
EARLY AS 0130-0200Z BUT AM NOT CONVINCED IT WILL PERSIST THAT
LONG. HAVE LEFT ANY MENTION OF IT OUT OF THE TAFS FOR NOW BUT MAY
HAVE TO AMEND AS IT APPROACHES. OTHERWISE EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS
TO PREVAIL FOR MOST SITES THROUGH THE FORECAST WITH DRIER
CONDITIONS EXPECTED TOMORROW AFTERNOON. 38
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 75 96 75 97 75 / 10 10 10 10 10
HOUSTON (IAH) 75 95 75 95 75 / 10 20 20 20 20
GALVESTON (GLS) 80 90 81 91 81 / 10 20 10 10 10
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...39
AVIATION/MARINE...38
