000
FXUS64 KLZK 172321
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
621 PM CDT SAT MAY 17 2008
.AVIATION...
GRADIENT HAS TIGHTENED ENOUGH FOR SOME GUSTS AS DAYTIME HEATING
HAS MAXED OUT. EXPECT THE DRY FRONT TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA WITH
ONLY MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS EXPECTED.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 216 PM CDT SAT MAY 17 2008/
SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT
SHORT TERM BEGINS WITH HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED EAST OF THE REGION.
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WERE IN PLACE DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS...ALLOWING FOR WARMER AIR TO RETURN TO THE AREA. TEMPERATURES
WERE SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN IN PREVIOUS DAYS...WITH EARLY AFTERNOON
READINGS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S ACROSS THE STATE.
A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE STATE TONIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY. MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED WITH THIS FROPA...SO LEFT
THE FORECAST DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER
AND WESTERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK. THE
NEXT SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE STATE FROM THE PLAINS...BUT WILL
PASS JUST NORTHEAST OF THE STATE ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
A GRADUAL WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK.
HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID 80S NORTH TO THE LOWER 90S SOUTH BY TUESDAY.
LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO UPPER 60S.
LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
PERIOD BEGINS WITH A BOUNDARY MOVING BACK TO THE NORTH ON
WEDNESDAY...AS UPPER RIDGING APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE ROCKIES.
BY THURSDAY...RIDGE LOOKS TO POSITION ITSELF NEAR THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. AT THE SURFACE...STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL SET
UP...WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING WELL INTO THE 80S TO NEAR 90 DEGREES.
WITH THE POSITION OF THE RIDGE NEAR THE REGION...SOUTHWEST UPPER
FLOW WILL SEND SEVERAL IMPULSES THROUGH...INTERACTING WITH DAYTIME
HEATING AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. SETUP WILL BE CONDUCIVE TO ISOLATED/
WIDELY SCATTERED MOSTLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. THE UPPER RIDGE
WILL ACT AS A BLOCK TO A FRONT OUT IN THE PLAINS. THUS...WEATHER
MORE INDICATIVE OF LATE SPRING WILL BE NOTED THROUGH THE LONG TERM
PERIODS...WITH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
CLIMATOLOGICAL AVERAGES.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR 57 82 54 85 / 10 10 0 0
CAMDEN AR 59 84 58 91 / 10 10 0 0
HARRISON AR 57 79 54 84 / 10 10 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 60 84 58 88 / 10 10 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 59 84 60 89 / 10 10 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 59 84 60 91 / 10 10 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 57 82 55 88 / 0 10 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 56 80 54 84 / 10 10 0 0
NEWPORT AR 58 82 55 85 / 10 10 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 59 84 60 89 / 10 10 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 57 83 50 88 / 10 10 0 0
SEARCY AR 58 83 57 87 / 10 10 0 0
STUTTGART AR 59 84 61 89 / 10 10 0 0
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&
$$
AVIATION...32
