000
FXHW60 PHFO 070548
AFDHFO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST SAT SEP 6 2008
.SYNOPSIS...
LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS WILL DIMINISH FROM MONDAY ONWARD. THE
STABLE ATMOSPHERE OVER THE ISLANDS WILL LIMIT WINDWARD RAINFALL...
BUT LEE AREAS MAY EXPERIENCE INCREASED CLOUDS AND A FEW SHOWERS.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
A SURFACE RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF HAWAII CONTINUES TO BRING TRADES TO
THE ISLANDS. SCATTERED CLOUDS AND SHOWERS EMBEDDED IN THE NORTHEAST
FLOW ARE TRACKING ACROSS WINDWARD AND MAUKA SECTIONS. LEEWARD
SECTIONS ARE MAINLY DRY...EXCEPT ALONG THE KONA COAST OF THE BIG
ISLAND AND CENTRAL SECTIONS OF OAHU. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE GENERALLY
LIGHT STATEWIDE. THE BIGGEST AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING RAIN TOTALS
WERE AT HONAUNAU AND KEALAKEKUA IN SOUTH KONA DISTRICT WITH .31 AND
.25 OF AN INCH RESPECTIVELY.
THE TRADES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS. ON
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY THE MODELS WEAKEN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF
THE STATE. THE TRADES WILL WEAKEN AND MAYBE ENOUGH TO PUT THE
ISLANDS IN A DAYTIME SEA BREEZE PATTERN ESPECIALLY ON WEDNESDAY. FOR
THE END OF NEXT WEEK THE GFS DEVELOPS A SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW ACROSS
THE STATE WITH AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE. AT THIS TIME...WILL HOLD OFF
ON INCREASING POPS FOR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE OTHER
MODELS ARE NOT AS AGGRESSIVE BRINGING THIS MOISTURE UP INTO THE
ISLANDS.
&&
.MARINE...
THE LARGE SOUTH SWELL WILL LOWER SLOWLY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. A HIGH
SURF ADVISORY FOR SOUTH-FACING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY.
A NEW SOUTH SOUTHEAST SWELL WILL ARRIVE LATE THIS WEEKEND. THIS IS
EXPECTED TO BRING NEAR ADVISORY LEVEL SURF TO SOUTH SHORES ON
MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
&&
.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST SUNDAY FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES.
&&
$$
BRENCHLEY
