000
FXUS62 KFFC 150847 AAA
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
447 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2008
.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
CURRENT SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN
STATES. LARGE WEAKENING RIDGE CENTERED OVER N GA/EASTERN TN WILL
STAY FAIRLY STATIONARY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE BREAKING DOWN AS
NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES THE REGION THU. WITH THIS RIDGE OVER
THE STATE TODAY SHOULD SEE VERY WARM TEMPS TODAY. LOOKING FOR NEAR
RECORD HI TEMPS ACROSS THE STATE. THE RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN
THU MORNING THE FRONTAL SYSTEM NOW OVER THE PLAINS STATES PUSHES
INTO THE MID MS AND TN VALLEYS. THE MAIN LOW CENTER MOVES RAPIDLY
NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF MO TODAY AND INTO THE NEW ENGLAND STATES BY 12Z
THU. THE MODELS ARE SHOWING A FEW WAVES ALONG THE FRONT WITH ONE
MOVING INTO NW GA BY 00Z FRI. AS THIS WAVE MOVES INTO GA IS WEAKENS
VERY RAPIDLY AS THERE IS VERY DRY STABLE AIR OVER MUCH OF THE
SOUTHEAST. THE FRONT CONTINUES SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE STATE AND EXITS
OUR CWA BY 00Z SAT. MOST OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GA SHOULD SEE SOME
PRECIP AS THIS FRONT MOVES THROUGH BUT IF THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE
CORRECT MOST AREAS WILL SEE A HALF INCH OR LESS THROUGH FRI.
INSTABILITY WITH THIS FRONT IS ALSO LACKING ( CAPES STAY BELOW 500
AND LIS STAY POSITIVE) SO ONLY EXPECTING ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT THU/FRI WITH NO SEVERE STORMS EXPECTED.
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
ONCE THE FRONT MOVES SOUTH OF THE AREA FRI NIGHT ANOTHER VERY LARGE
RIDGE BUILDS SOUTHEASTWARD OUT OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS/GREAT LAKES
STATES SAT AND BECOMES CENTERED OVER THE CAROLINAS THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS RIDGE BRINGS WITH IT SOME COLD DRY AIR AND
COULD SEE DAYTIME HIGHS SAT/SUN IN THE 60S TO NEAR 70. LOW TEMPS
WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 40S WITH THE MOUNTAINS SEEING SOME MID TO
UPPER 30S. A REINFORCING COLD FRONT SWEEPS SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE U.S. TUE...APPEARING TO KEEP THE COOL
TEMPERATURES AROUND THROUGH DAY 7.
&&
.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUING TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BECOMES
CENTERED OVER GEORGIA. SKIES VIRTUALLY CLEAR...EXCEPT FOR FEW
AFTERNOON CU (IN THE 4 TO 5 THSD FT RANGE). VSBY GENERALLY
UNRESTRICTED...BUT POSSIBLY LOWERING INTO THE MVFR RANGE IN FOG AT
FAVORED LOCATIONS (AHN,MCN,FTY) UNTIL AROUND 13/14Z. NEAR CALM WIND
EARLY...BUT FAVORING A WEST/SOUTHWEST DIRECTION BY MIDMORNING WITH
SPEEDS LESS THAN 10 KTS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS 87 54 86 61 75 / 0 0 10 10 40
ATLANTA 85 62 84 62 71 / 0 0 10 20 30
BLAIRSVILLE 81 48 76 55 68 / 0 0 20 30 30
CARTERSVILLE 85 51 81 58 70 / 0 0 20 30 30
COLUMBUS 87 56 88 64 78 / 0 0 5 10 40
GAINESVILLE 83 58 81 60 72 / 0 0 10 30 40
MACON 88 52 87 61 80 / 0 0 5 10 40
ROME 85 52 79 57 72 / 0 0 30 30 30
PEACHTREE CITY 85 48 82 56 73 / 0 0 10 10 30
VIDALIA 89 55 87 60 84 / 0 0 0 5 30
&&
.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
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