000
FXUS64 KTSA 171954
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
254 PM CDT SAT MAY 17 2008
.DISCUSSION...
TRANQUIL WEATHER IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA. NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT WILL TRANSITION TO RIDGING DURING THE UPCOMING
WEEK WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT LATE
IN THE UPCOMING WEEK.
THUS... THE WARM UP WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THE NEXT
FEW DAYS DESPITE A WEAK BOUNDARY MOVING SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT. NOT MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH AND WILL NOT ADD POPS.
THE WIND BECOMES SOUTH AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY WILL
BE QUITE WARM WITH NEAR RECORD HEAT AT TULSA. TUESDAY WILL
NOT BE QUITE AS WARM AS ANOTHER WEAK BOUNDARY MOVES SOUTH
ACROSS THE AREA. INCLUDED A MENTION OF THUNDERSTORMS AS
THERE WILL BE A LITTLE MORE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WITH
THIS BOUNDARY.
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE LATE IN THE WEEK AS
STRONG SOUTH WINDS BEGIN ON WEDNESDAY. HAVE INCLUDED SMALL
POPS BEGINNING THURSDAY DUE TO THIS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF
WAVES IN THE POTENTIAL SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. BOTH THE GFS AND
ECMWF HAVE QPF IN THE AREA.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL 60 87 64 93 / 10 0 0 10
FSM 57 86 57 92 / 10 0 0 10
MLC 57 87 61 91 / 10 0 0 10
BVO 52 85 56 93 / 10 0 0 10
FYV 52 81 51 85 / 10 0 0 10
BYV 55 79 55 85 / 10 0 0 10
MKO 56 85 58 90 / 10 0 0 10
MIO 55 84 57 87 / 10 0 0 10
F10 57 85 61 90 / 10 0 0 10
HHW 58 88 59 91 / 10 0 0 10
&&
.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....17
ABBAS
