000
FXUS64 KOUN 061956
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
256 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2008
.DISCUSSION...
AFTN CONVECTION WILL CONT INTO THE EVENING HOURS ALONG AND EAST OF
SFC FRONT ACROSS MAINLY CENTRAL AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA. BY
LATER TONIGHT AS UPPER LOW SHIFTS TO OUR NORTHEAST... CONVECTION WILL
GRADUALLY PULL EAST OF THE AREA AS WELL. THIS SHOULD END UP
PRODUCING SOME MUCH NEEDED RAIN AT MOST LOCALES BEFORE ENDING. FOR
TUESDAY... OTHER THAN A FEW LINGERING SHWRS POSSIBLE IN THE EAST...
THE DAY SHOULD BE DRY... BUT WILL BE A LITTLE WINDY ON BACK SIDE OF
SYSTEM.
MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK LOOKS FAIRLY QUIET AS NEXT SYSTEM
TAKES SHAPE ACROSS THE WEST. WILL FOLLOW ECMWF AS IT CONT TO SHOW
MORE CONSISTENCY FROM RUN TO RUN... PLUS LATEST NAM AND TO SOME
EXTENT GFS ARE COMING MORE IN-LINE WITH AMPLIFYING WAVE CLOSER TO
WEST COAST BY LATE IN THE WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN DELAY IN NEXT
SFC FRONTAL PASSAGE UNTIL LATE IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK
KEEPING TEMPS WELL ABOVE MOS GUIDANCE NUMBERS FOR LATTER PERIODS.
ALSO IT APPEARS BETTER CHANCE OF PRECIP MAY HOLD OFF UNTIL SUN OR
MON... WILL KEEP LOW POPS OVER THE WEEKEND FOR POSSIBILITY OF WAA
SETTING UP AHEAD OF MAIN SYSTEM.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 56 75 51 80 / 40 0 0 0
HOBART OK 52 78 52 83 / 20 0 0 0
WICHITA FALLS TX 57 82 52 85 / 20 0 0 0
GAGE OK 49 77 45 83 / 20 0 0 0
PONCA CITY OK 54 74 48 79 / 60 10 0 0
DURANT OK 60 74 52 83 / 70 10 0 0
&&
.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&
$$
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