000
FXUS64 KCRP 072335 AAA
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
635 PM CDT THU AUG 7 2008
.DISCUSSION...ISSUANCE OF DISCUSSION UPDATE IS FOR THE AVIATION
COMMUNITY.
&&
.AVIATION...
ONLY CONCERNS ARE 2 OR 3 HOUR WINDOW OF POSSIBLE FOG AND CIGS
BETWEEN 11Z AND 13Z AT KVCT AND KALI...AND HAVE GONE 5SM TEMPO 1SM
FOR FOG AT KALI ENDING BY 1330Z...WITH TEMPO 1113 3SM BR AT KVCT.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WITH TYPICAL SEA-BREEZE WINDS AND NO
THUNDER EXPECTED.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 301 PM CDT THU AUG 7 2008/
SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...ISOLATED SHOWERS
OFFSHORE AND ANY STRAY SHOWERS INLAND ALONG THE SEA-BREEZE THIS
AFTERNOON WILL QUICKLY DISSIPATE EARLY THIS EVENING. NOT MUCH ELSE
TO SPEAK OF THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. A DRYING TREND IN THE PWS AND
GENERAL SUBSIDENCE WILL MEAN DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS.
MARINE...SLIGHTLY WEAKER WINDS THROUGH THE SHORT TERM...WITH A
WEAK TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW PREVAILING. ANTICIPATE WINDS BELOW
SCEC.
LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE
TO DOMINATE OUR WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THE EXTENDED. MODELS
CONTINUE TO KEEP DISTURBANCES WELL EAST OF THE AREA AS WE REMAIN ON
THE SUBSIDENT SIDE OF HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE. THEREFORE...WILL KEEP
FORECAST DRY AND WARM WITH MAXIMUM HEAT INDICES EXPECTED TO APPROACH
OR EXCEED 105 DEGREES THIS WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DEEPENING TROUGH OVER THE LEE SIDE OF THE ROCKIES IS PROGGED TO
INCREASE ONSHORE FLOW OVER THE NW GULF AND INCREASE SEAS HEIGHTS
TO JUST BELOW SCA CRITERIA.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI 75 94 75 95 76 / 0 10 0 10 10
VICTORIA 72 98 72 98 76 / 0 10 10 10 10
LAREDO 79 102 79 102 78 / 10 10 0 10 10
ALICE 74 98 74 98 75 / 0 10 0 10 10
ROCKPORT 79 93 79 91 78 / 10 10 10 10 10
COTULLA 74 102 74 102 74 / 0 10 0 10 10
KINGSVILLE 74 96 74 97 75 / 0 10 0 10 10
NAVY CORPUS 78 91 78 91 79 / 0 10 10 10 10
&&
.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&
$$
GW/86...MESO/AVIATION
TE/81...SYNOPTIC/GRIDS
