000
FXUS64 KMRX 171922
AFDMRX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
322 PM EDT SAT MAY 17 2008
.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...FAST MOVING COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE NORTH TONIGHT. TEMPS NOT AS
COLD TONIGHT WILL INCREASED WAA AND BETTER MIXING. FRONT MOVES
RAPIDLY SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA ON SUNDAY. GOOD COVERAGE OF SHOWER
ACTIVITY CAN BE EXPECTED. SMALL THUNDERSTORM THREAT WITH LIMITED
LIFT AND INSTABILITY. RAPID CLEARING FOR A COOL SUNDAY NIGHT WITH
ANOTHER ROUND OF FOG POSSIBLE AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN
FROM THE WEST. MONDAY LOOKS FAIR BETWEEN SYSTEMS. UPPER IMPULSE IN
NW FLOW BRINGS EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER AND A GOOD CHANCE OF PCPN MON
NGT.
.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...A SHORTWAVE TRACKS THROUGH
THE REGION ON TUESDAY WITH DEEP MOISTURE AND DECENT LIFT AVAILABLE.
WILL BUMP UP POPS TO 50-60 PERCENT FOR TUESDAY. DRIER WEATHER
RETURNS ON WEDNESDAY. A WARM FRONT PUSHES INTO THE REGION ON
THURSDAY AND LINGERS INTO FRIDAY. WITH STILL UNCERTAINTY ON THE
STRENGTH OR TIMING...WILL KEEP ONLY 20 POPS FOR BOTH THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. DRY WEATHER RETURNS AGAIN ON SATURDAY. STAYED NEAR MEX/HPC
GUIDANCE FOR TEMPERATURES.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 54 73 51 77 60 / 10 50 10 10 20
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 54 69 48 73 58 / 30 60 20 10 30
OAK RIDGE, TN 54 68 48 74 58 / 30 60 20 10 30
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 50 64 44 69 52 / 30 80 20 10 60
&&
.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&
$$
SON/GH
